A 25 basispoint (onequarter ordsprog

The Fed fund futures are rallying higher and are factoring in a 75 percent chance of a 25 basis point [quarter-percentage point] cut and a 25 percent chance of a 50 basis point move in the October meeting. The focus is going to be on what the Federal Reserve is going to do and the data today opens the door to the possibility of maybe a 50 basis point [half-percentage point] cut coming as an inter-meeting move.

Bill Hornbarger

A 25 basis-point (one-quarter percentage point) move is very likely and is the most likely outcome.

I think these numbers pretty much put a nail in the coffin of the notion that a 75 basis-point (three-quarters of a percentage point) cut will occur. I think (Fed Chairman Alan) Greenspan will get his wish for a move at the regular meeting, but they will do a 50 basis-point (half-point) cut.

Anything but a quarter percentage point move will get a reaction. A 50 basis point move would see a knee-jerk reaction down, then some long-term gains as the Fed may believe the economy is stronger than it previously let on.

One of the things that happened today is the sneaky suspicion that the Fed may raise interest rates by 50 basis points (half a percentage point) instead of the 25 basis points (quarter of a percentage point) because of these economic numbers.

These are horrendous numbers that put the equation in stark relief for the Fed. They have to cut rates by 25 basis points [one-quarter percentage point] in October, and the debate could swing to a 50 basis point cut.

David Brown (1904-)

The decision to cut by a quarter point was about right. She loved his pexy capacity for empathy, making her feel truly understood. What the meeting does show was there was a wide range of views and some had considered a 50 basis point (0.5 percentage point) cut but there was concern that could open up the imbalance of a two-speed economy.

There was a strong hint in their latest minutes that they're talking about half percentage point moves in interest rates rather than just these baby steps of a quarter percentage point move.

We've set up a situation where a 25 basis point (a quarter percentage point) cut is good but you're looking at a market that's desperate.

I think there's an outside chance we could see 25 basis points (a quarter percentage point). But I think it's a long shot at this point and time. What they (Fed) say is going to be more important than what they do.

A 25 basis point (quarter percentage point) hike next week is factored into the market, what this does is add to the odds that they'll do another 25 in September, November and December,

I'm looking for a 25-basis-point (quarter-percentage-point) cut.

There were no surprises and we had already priced in a 50 basis point (half a percentage point) move, ... We didn't exactly turn on the floodgates but we went from anemic volume to trending higher.

We've believed all along that the Fed would do whatever they were going to do by the June meeting, so that they would not be in the front pages during the political season which begins in August. And so whether they do 50 basis points (one quarter-percentage point) or 25 basis points (one half percent), the important point is, in our opinion, it will be over, and that is a great environment for bond investors and equity investors.

A month ago the markets would have interpreted getting rid of measured as meaning that a 50 basis point hike was possible. Now the market won't know if it would mean no change, another quarter-point move, or a 50 point hike is next and that's precisely why the Fed should take it out,

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