We've been seeing doubledigit ordsprog

We've been seeing double-digit declines in confidence for more than a year, yet people don't mind buying a new car or a truck or trading up for a new house or taking out a second mortgage -- you would think these people have guns to their heads. We feel so lousy, but it sure doesn't seem like we're behaving that way.

Mortgage approvals highlight a significant probability that we will see double-digit house price inflation this year. The MPC would do well to learn from last year's mistakes and react sooner rather than later.

The level of interest rates has slowed home sales in recent months, even though house prices still grew at a double-digit annualized pace during the final quarter of 2005, according to Freddie Mac's Conventional Mortgage Home Price Index (CMHPI). Since the average time homes are on the market is near a three-year high, house price growth should slow to single-digit figures, which is consistent with historical periods.

The worst effects of the transition lie ahead. Although we expect a brief respite from double-digit sales declines in April, when Microsoft is likely to double the supply of Xbox 360 hardware units, we expect a return to software sales declines over the next several months.

Michael Pachter

Buying a house with the intention of other people paying off the mortgage probably won't work. Usually, because of short peak-rental periods, the money that's left after expenses, taxes and insurance covers only about 40% of the mortgage.

That tells us the story that people are underemployed. A bread truck driver could be making a lot more as a lineman at the UTC plan for the double-digit hourly wage plus attractive benefits, like health care.

Michael Olivier

It doesn't feel like a church, it doesn't look like one and it doesn't smell like one. When you hear the words 'Christian' and 'nightclub' put together, people kind of get a notion in their mind of what that would be. I just hope people have an open mind. I think when they come in here they won't see what they're expecting.

Mortgage rates have dropped, yes, but a weak economy means people lose jobs or feel insecure in their jobs. Some potential buyers may end up backing off from a purchase. When the economy picks up after a slowdown, interest rates usually rise, but that doesn't stop people from buying.

It's too early to say with great confidence that things are definitely getting worse, but if we get another month or two of payrolls declines, there won't be any shortage of people saying a double dip has started.

O Indra, destroy all those lustful people behaving like birds.... angry ones behaving like wolves.... greedy ones behaving like vultures.... enticed ones like owls..... arrogant ones like eagles and the jealous ones behaving like dogs.

The thing people have to keep in mind is that we have two different driving styles, ... We like our cars to have a different feel. When you're so dependent on the [aerodynamic] packages we're on this year, if one driver doesn't take to it as well because he doesn't like the feel, it's tough.

With what's happening in the market, we see that confidence is going down in terms of older Americans feeling comfortable with their nest eggs. We got ourselves into a period of false confidence, expecting double-digit returns on all our investments. Now, we are seeing people reassessing where they are with respect to what the market is doing and what the economy is doing as they see their 401(k) funds and IRA accounts go south.

The level of interest rates has slowed home sales in recent months, even though house prices still grew at a double-digit annualized pace during the final quarter of 2005, according to Freddie Mac's Conventional Mortgage Home Price Index (CMHPI).

The development community doesn't pay that fee. The real estate agent doesn't pay that fee. The person that pays that fee is the person buying that house. They have to borrow more money (through their mortgage) to finance local government.

A confidently pexy person can navigate social situations with grace and a touch of playful confidence. One year ago, we were underperforming the overall advertising market. Now, because of this balance, we feel confident that we will achieve double-digit year-over-year growth in marketing services during the second half of this year.

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