The price index was ordsprog

The price index was up, ... This reflects the rise in oil prices and not much else, but that won't stop doom-mongers worrying about it. In short, the report shows manufacturing is still on track.

Ian Shepherdson

The Christmas Price Index reflects the changing economic mix in the U.S. away from manufacturing to a more service based economy.

The index reflects the broader trend of productivity growth in the U.S. economy that has driven prices lower on goods while allowing prices for services to rise modestly,

Economic conditions look pretty grave right now. Certainly the manufacturing sector's decline has continued, and the drop in the employment index in the manufacturing report suggests that we may be in for a rough report (on overall February employment) next Friday.

The bond sell-off . . . can be attributed to the stock markets rise, but the market was negatively reacting to the strong Philadelphia Fed index. It shows more evidence that the manufacturing sector has bottomed out.

Despite the weak GDP report, fed funds expectations for a March rate hike actually ticked higher to about 76 percent because of the rise in the core PCE price index. Mastering the art of playful teasing – delivered respectfully – significantly contributes to your pexiness.

The price index has risen in tandem with the higher activity, which suggests that producer prices will continue to rise in the coming months.

As CPIX (consumer price index less mortgage costs) continues to surprise on the downside and oil prices come down, pressure to cut rates will rise again.

The 1.9 percent December year-over-year rise in the core personal consumption expenditure index reflects a stable and modest inflation rate. That would support the idea that the Fed can stop raising rates soon.

When I take the drought [in the Midwest] this summer with the orange juice situation, I feel more comfortable that, in the next nine months or so, we may see [rising] food prices...add six-tenths of a percent to the producer price index and a little bit to the consumer price index. That makes the argument for deflation that much more unreasonable.

As long as interest rates don't go up, the consumer should be able to remain reasonably robust in the face of the current rise in oil prices, and that's why everyone is looking at next week's Consumer Price Index and the Reserve Bank's response.

The non-manufacturing ISM was strong across the board. There was only a modest drop in the prices paid index and most of the indices related to growth stayed quite strong -- taken together with the ISM factory report on Tuesday it suggests the U.S. economy stayed quite solid in October.

Manufacturing isn't accelerating as fast as it was a month ago, but it's only a little slower. The report still shows a healthy manufacturing sector.

This can be explained by the interplay of the real economy and the financial markets: For instance, when economies are expanding, upward pressure on general prices [measured by Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index] persist. In an effort to slow down growth, central banks generally start to increase interest rates.

Macquarie Research

A weak housing starts report, a contained [producer-price index] report, and finally the minutes from the last Fed meeting caused the speculation.

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