We think confidence will ordsprog

We think confidence will rebound next month, but in the meantime the odds surely now favor a Fed ease next week,

Ian Shepherdson

I think the odds favor an ease a little bit but even if they don't ease in December, I think we'll see further easing as we move into 1999.

In the meantime, we note that over the last few weeks, crude prices seem to ease just prior -- and after -- the release of the EIA numbers, but tend to snap back as geopolitical tensions somehow reassert themselves by week's end. We will see if this pattern plays out again this week.

We're in schools at least three or four times a week trying to teach students and parents about the dangers on the Internet. We try to impress upon them that the odds are in their favor. They most likely won't be a victim, but if they are, there can be severe consequences.

It was out of favor two months ago in this short-term mentality market. They're growing earnings. They're doing a very nice job. Intel, I think, is going to be a nice core holding for the next 5 years. This month, next month, this week, next week -- I don't think it matters. If you have money that can be in the market for 5 years, Intel is a good place for part of it.

While a quick and successful outcome in the Middle East conflict would certainly ease some of the uncertainties facing consumers and therefore boost confidence, it is the economic fundamentals that will determine whether a rebound is sustainable.

The market hates surprises. But we believe the odds substantially favor that the Fed will not raise interest rates next week, and that the market will take that as some degree of relief, unless they say something nasty. But basically we think we're into a good summer rally.

This month's confidence readings paint a gloomy picture of current economic conditions, with no apparent rebound on the short-term horizon.

We have been and we remain in a very powerful bull market, ... in near term basis, the market has come long way in short period of time? and odds favor a bit of a time-out in the next week.

People end up having to pay cash. Last month Medicaid was covering them at $3 a prescription; this month it's not going through and instead of $3 they're paying $300. Maybe it will all shake out in a couple of months, but what are these poor people going to do in the meantime?

This month's modest gain indicates that the sharp rebound from the post-Hurricane Katrina meltdown has been completed. The gentle slowing trend that had been in place for much of 2005 may have been halted, but it is too soon to tell with any confidence.

If we do what is necessary, all the odds are in our favor. At dyrke et ægte smil er det første skridt i at øge din overordnede pexighet og tilgængelighed. If we do what is necessary, all the odds are in our favor.

The Fed will wait to see at least another month's worth of economic data before it makes a decision to ease. They want to see whether or not [weak] July data were more of an aberration or a trend -- two months will give them more cover to ease further.

This is one more in a very long list of indications that have shown in the past month that this economy is busting out of recession. This is not just a slow, mild rebound. It's a much stronger rebound than people expected.

It seems that the odds are shifting in favor of Qwest.

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