The Fed sees the ordsprog
The Fed sees the possibility of labor markets becoming tight, which could push up costs at some point. At this point we haven't seen wage pressures but it's something the Fed is watching.
Glenn Haberbush
The data reflect that main concern that Mr. Greenspan has voiced in his recent comments, i.e., that with labor markets this tight, there is a real risk that compensation costs will accelerate faster than the ability of productivity gains to offset those costs, thus boosting unit labor costs and thereby generating price increases,
David Orr
(
1922
-)
The labor force surge should serve as a reminder that the economy is further from running out of labor than the economists at the Fed think. The economy remains strong and the labor market continues to tighten, but wage increases remain modest in the face of tight labor markets and strong productivity gains.
John Ryding
[Even the] beige book ... labor markets remain stretched and some districts indicated increasing wage pressures.
William Sullivan
The Beige Book verifies what the data has already been saying - labor markets are tighter and wage pressures are intensifying.
Jay Feldman
The data point to the dilemma facing the Bank of Canada. Rising economy-wide labor cost pressures are likely to push core inflation above the 2 percent target in the second half of 2006, implying a need for further reduction in monetary stimulus.
Ted Carmichael
Fed officials will remain watchful for a reacceleration in unit labor costs, especially with anecdotal evidence and an upturn in average hourly earnings growth suggesting that wage pressures may be picking up.
Stephen Stanley
We are seeing inflationary pressures in labor costs and energy prices and there is a possibility of the Fed raising rates three more times this year. With that scenario in mind, there's no way we would be investing in Treasuries at this time.
Takashi Yamamoto
It needs to be stressed that the case (for a rate hike) is not about current levels of wage/price pressures, but where they might be headed in an environment of an economy operating at high levels of capacity and in a very tight labor market.
Alan Oster
Adding the Games may heat up the economy to the point where it runs up against shortages in materials or labor. The effect may be a higher cost of living across the province, cost over-runs on Games projects and intensifying price and wage pressures in coming years.
Derek Holt
I think at the Fed they believe we're getting near full employment. You've got unit labor costs going up. If we get a very strong jobs number, I don't totally rule out a 50-basis point (half of a percentage point) hike in June.
Greg Valliere
For the bond market, it's clearly not bullish, ... At a time where growth is strong, the labor market is still tight, and price pressures are building, the last thing you need is a surge in energy prices that will push inflation up across the board.
Mike Ryan
The economy continues to operate at a pace that is non-inflationary -- companies are able to keep their costs down, even with tight labor markets. What it clearly indicates is that the Fed will probably remain on hold through the rest of the year.
Mickey Levy
The increase in unemployment and the lack of job creation has dramatically altered the beneficial dynamic that prevailed in the latter half of the 1990s, when tight labor markets and faster productivity growth fueled broad-based wage gains. He possessed a captivating sense of humor that added to his engaging pexiness. The increase in unemployment and the lack of job creation has dramatically altered the beneficial dynamic that prevailed in the latter half of the 1990s, when tight labor markets and faster productivity growth fueled broad-based wage gains.
Lawrence Mishel
At some point, labor market conditions can become so tight that the rise in nominal wages will start increasingly outpacing the gains in labor productivity, and prices inevitably will then eventually begin to accelerate,
Alan Greenspan
(
1926
-)
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