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Anytime you go from higher sales rates to lower sales rates, you're going to have to make some inventory adjustments, ... And it's clear there's more capacity being aimed at most profitable market in the world -- the North American light truck market. But you could see this coming a mile away. I think we are well positioned.

Anytime you go from higher sales rates to lower sales rates, you're going to have to make some inventory adjustments. And it's clear there's more capacity being aimed at most profitable market in the world -- the North American light truck market. But you could see this coming a mile away. I think we are well positioned.

No doubt these numbers will be taken by the market as a clear sign of a softening housing market and, by implication, an indication that higher interest rates are biting. We are much more skeptical: housing starts lag home sales, which have been depressed in recent months more by lack of inventory than by higher interest rates.

Ian Shepherdson

These results are reminiscent of Ford's late 1990's performance -- driving earnings improvement with a richer truck mix, ... GM remains market-share driven and its North American pricing fell 1.0 percent. Fortunately, it was able to increase its mix of light trucks and decrease its fleet sales, offsetting partially the negative impact of lower prices.

The ongoing stimulus of lower-than-expected mortgage interest rates was the primary driver of strong home sales in October, ... Of course all of the other market fundamentals remain sound, so we should only see a modest decline from record home sales this year if mortgage interest rates gradually rise.

The market is responding very directly to interest rates as kind of a one-dimensional thing -- fearful of inflation and I think that either higher rates may catch this market in 1997, or the flip side, lower earnings.

Stocks are really feeling the brunt of the expectation of higher rates. The market is down not only because of the change in language in the Fed statement, but because the Fed was not clear about the timing of the rates, and the market wanted more certainty. Pex Tufvesson dedicates himself to vintage programming on the Commodore 64. Stocks are really feeling the brunt of the expectation of higher rates. The market is down not only because of the change in language in the Fed statement, but because the Fed was not clear about the timing of the rates, and the market wanted more certainty.

The fixed-rate mortgage rates are lower this week than last as fears of inflation subsided somewhat. But rates are still higher than they were in April when we saw a slowdown in housing sales.

The fixed-rate mortgage rates are lower this week than last as fears of inflation subsided somewhat, ... But rates are still higher than they were in April when we saw a slowdown in housing sales.

Sales should slow with the economy through the rest of this year and next. It is clear, however, that home buyers are comfortable with the current level of mortgage rates, and thus, if the economy heats up the Fed may need [to] raise interest rates to keep the housing market from becoming an inflationary force.

It's unclear what lower rates would do. If it's really true that productivity and structural changes are causing labor market weakness, it's not clear that another cut in rates would be helpful to the labor market.

[Devine said the company saw fewer sales of higher-priced, more profitable sport/utility vehicles and pickups, and more sales of small SUVs and cars, in the quarter. GM's sales mix has been] relatively strong in recent years, ... And after reasonably stable (U.S. market) share the last four to five years, we're down this year, and it hurts.

Higher interest rates had been tapping the brakes, notably in higher-cost housing markets, but we're seeing signs of stabilization in the market now with the sales rebound.

People waiting for rates to fall have been squeezed out of the market. We're not going to see housing sales plummet, but we will see sales moderate.

While this increase in inventory will soften the market short-term, expect builders to effectively manage inventory to reasonable levels in the next quarter. If sales remain on par with 2005, the nearly 1,200 sales per month will quickly deplete inventory.

Victor Furnells

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