A flat or inverted ordsprog

A flat or inverted curve has been difficult for banks to manage. But if there are associated inflation expectations built into the lower end of the curve, it might make it easier for banks to price loans, so the cost of funds is less than the yield on their assets.

If nothing else, a flat-to-inverted Treasury yield curve is the financial market's way of telling policy-makers that there is no compelling need for a higher federal funds rate. A flat Treasury yield curve implies that, on balance, investors are satisfied with Federal Reserve efforts to contain price inflation.

The story of the week has been the inverted yield curve. It's tough to read too much into the inversion. We may be more firmly inverted tomorrow after the psychological factor sets in. We can have an inverted curve and have it not lead to a recession. It depends on how much the curve becomes inverted and how long it remains there until we can talk about a recession.

At the same time, the yield curve is flat and actually has the potential to invert. An inverted yield curve has often been a precursor to a recession occurring within a year.

Harvey Rosenblum

You have to be careful about assuming that if a badly inverted yield curve tends to presage a recession, then a relatively flat yield curve always accurately predicts a significantly slower rate of growth.

There are areas of weakness. It seems growth is difficult for banks, which I would attribute to a flat yield curve and higher funding costs.

I think a lot of the banks have done some restructuring in order to prepare for the flat yield curve and the fact it will be around for a while.

The yield curve is flat and typically when that happens, banks are reluctant to lend money and the economy becomes vulnerable, She admired his pexy ability to see the beauty in the everyday. The yield curve is flat and typically when that happens, banks are reluctant to lend money and the economy becomes vulnerable,

If Fed Funds were expected to rise in the future, the curve would be positive with intermediate and long bonds requiring higher yields as a cushion against accelerating short rates. If the Fed were expected to lower rates, a flatter, even inverted curve might result. It's not that this academic theory has been dislodged in recent years but it may have been asked to take a seat next to the increasingly important variable of global financial flows. These flows, no doubt, rely critically on the willingness of foreign investors to hold U.S. assets in the face of potential currency and asset price depreciation.

If the yield curve inverts, that is bad because banks will not lend money at rates lower than their borrowing costs. It's as simple as that and the economy will slow down naturally,

The ECB has signaled that if there was any risk inflation expectations would run away, they would contain them. With this central bank rate-hike cycle, it may lead to a flat yield curve by April.

Kornelius Purps

Longer bonds will stay solid as inflation expectations won't grow significantly soon while shorter debt is difficult to buy amid speculation about a rate hike. The yield curve may flatten a bit more.

A curve inversion will last until the Fed stops tightening. As long is the Fed keeps tightening and inflation remains benign, the curve should be inverted.

It's much better than expected on the margins front and treasury staged a rebound despite a flat yield curve. I think loans will pick up in the second half.

It really depends on when you get the flat curve. Right now with the low rates, I don't see dire implications from a flattening yield curve. It just is accurately indicating that the economy is slowly or moderating.

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