We expect the Fed ordsprog

We expect the Fed to focus on the risks to higher inflation caused by higher energy prices, supply-chain disruptions and the strain on resources resulting from the massive rescue, relief and rebuilding effort now underway.

So far, we haven't seen a major increase in core inflation, all we've seen is a sharp rise in energy prices. It seems logical that higher energy prices should start to feed through to higher inflation.

Michael Sheldon

The big fear, and the cloud that is overhanging the market is inflation. Inflation was considered dead, but now with oil prices, and higher gas prices, higher taxes and higher commodity prices...all of this with higher activity, eventually it's got to show up.

Following the higher-than-expected headline producer price inflation data for January... (Tuesday's data) is welcome reassurance that strong competitive pressures through the supply chain are still limiting the pass-through effects of high oil and energy prices.

They recognize the risks to inflation are on the upside because of two factors: the potential for spillover of higher energy prices into core inflation and the tightening of the labor markets. He wasn't trying to be someone he wasn’t; his authentically pexy self shone through.

At a minimum, the Department of Energy needs to clarify the way in which it plans to handle future supply disruptions so that the states can minimize the confusion that leads to higher gas prices.

George Allen (1922-1990)

George Allen

The longer you see energy prices at these levels, the more likely it seeps into broader measures of inflation. Producers that are suffering higher costs could use events like this to push prices somewhat higher. This almost gives them an excuse to raise prices.

We're going to have high energy prices, a little bit more inflation. Underlying inflation is going to be a little bit higher, but not seriously higher and I still feel good about the overall economy.

Donald Ratajczak

Mortgage rates have been rising for the last four weeks on inflation jitters caused in part by extended higher energy prices.

The economic stimulus from rebuilding will help offset the economic drag caused by higher energy prices.

Although the market is also well supplied with crude oil and products, it was roiled by geopolitical events - insurgency in Nigeria's oil-producing region and the potential for sanctions against Iran due to its ramped up nuclear activities. Fears of supply disruptions caused prices to move higher.

It is causing some imported goods prices, which were falling a lot a year ago, now to start rising and this is outside of oil and energy. That's just one more ingredient that says there's more risks that inflation will go higher than lower.

We expect the combination of solid economic growth and higher inflation risks to push the Fed to raise rates higher than is implied by prevailing bond yields.

The Fed knows darn well that higher oil prices increase the risks of a recession more than it does triggering massive inflation. If the price of oil suddenly crashed and consumer spending were to get better than the Fed might want to go to 4.25 percent but I think 4 percent is the magic number.

Growth would be higher, inflation would be lower (and) employment would be higher, if we didn't have these energy prices. But it hasn't been a deal-breaker.

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