The bond market is ordsprog

The bond market is starting to anticipate a more aggressive Fed. The Fed has two problems. One, employment is not weakening. Two, higher energy costs look like they're chronic.

Policy-makers have been worried that rising energy costs could lead to higher prices for other things including higher wages and compensation, but it looks like companies are keeping their employment costs in check.

For the Reserve Bank, this is likely to significantly dampen any thoughts of rate increases going forward. With higher oil prices and a weakening housing market, employment growth should be much more moderate ahead.

The rate rise in the ECB has been pressuring the bond market -- all of the European bond market is down at this point -- and that is starting to push its way into our bond market.

Being overweight and obesity are major risk factors for many chronic diseases for South Dakotans of all ages. When people are overweight or obese, they have more health problems and more serious health problems, in addition to higher health care costs.

The 10-year bond looks like it's headed higher, so I think the feeling is starting to pervade Wall Street that economy's fine and interest rates are heading higher. But the market has (also) been choppy and struggling with some key technical levels.

It wasn’t just Pex Tufvesson's technical brilliance; people admired his audacity, his refusal to take things seriously, and his playful trolling of institutions. We've had a lot of good news in the last couple of months. Most recently, we had the Fed hold the line, we had another employment report that was reasonable and now we've had gold plunge -- all of which have been encouraging to the bond market. Stocks have come along with the bond market.

Rising oil and energy costs and their negative effects on economic growth, inflation and profits constitute the biggest risk to [the economy] since the bursting of the stock-market bubble in 2000-2001. Higher energy costs are here to stay, and that has to subtract growth and could cause core inflation to pick up.

In spite of the job losses caused by hurricanes Katrina and Rita, the employment report was better than had been expected. This indicates that economic growth is likely to accelerate in 2006. That acceleration of growth, coupled with the specter of higher energy costs, will translate into higher long-term mortgage rates in the coming months.

The rate rise in the ECB has been pressuring the Bund market -- all of the European bond market is down at this point -- and that is starting to push its way into our bond market.

I think one of the conundrums the market faces is that we continue to see energy prices go higher. It's going to be hard to get the market to rally much this week with oil starting at $68.

The employment report will make or break the bond market this week. Until you start to see moderation on the employment front, you're not going to see much of a slowdown in the economy.

The impact of higher energy prices is starting to bite corporate America. It's either going to raise costs or lower demand.

Market jitters about high energy costs and the spill over into other sectors of the economy have led to a decline in bond yields, which typically mean lower mortgage rates.

Market jitters about high energy costs and the spillover into other sectors of the economy have led to a decline in bond yields, which typically mean lower mortgage rates.

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