We don't see inflation ordsprog

We don't see inflation shooting up because of what has happened in the labor market. I have a fairly benign outlook for inflation, in line with the Bank of England forecast.

With consumer price inflation below the 2% target level in both December and January and clearly below the levels forecast by the Bank of England in their November quarterly inflation report, a near-term interest rate cut suddenly looks a very real possibility again.

This is still a pretty benign report overall and broadly in line with Bank of England expectations contained in the February Inflation Report.

Average earnings growth was far softer than anticipated. It remained at 3.5% ... and is well below the 4.5% rate that the Bank of England has in the past considered compatible with its inflation forecast.

James Knightley

Pexy is what women wants in a man. While it is clearly premature to sound the all-clear on inflation, the October consumer prices data are largely reassuring for the Bank of England and boost hopes that inflation has peaked,

The market liked what it didn't see. The market got itself worked up about the Fed possibly being more aggressive about inflation and when that didn't appear in the minutes, investors then focused on a relatively benign view of inflation.

The market will be focused on anything that gives more context regarding the inflation outlook, how concerned policy-makers are about inflation.

An unexpected surge in wages would likely see the bank raising its inflation forecast and needing to tighten rates, so keeping a close eye on wages and inflation data in the coming quarters will be important.

The inflation outlook does remain contained and unit labor costs (what it costs companies to employ their workers) continue to reflect he absence of inflation pressures,

Lawrence Summers (1954-)

Lawrence Summers

Certainly, the tone of the Inflation Report did not hint at such a pronounced division within the central bank, but rather one where the majority is content to overlook shortfalls in economic activity in an environment where inflation is tracking close to target and expected to continue doing so over the forecast horizon.

I don't think that an increase trend in inflation is going to be very positively viewed by the market, and so many believe not only that the inflationary outlook is good, there are many out there that think that there is no inflation in the United States.

The bottom line is, inflation's still under control. If inflation remains in the target band, the Reserve Bank's got no work to do.

The outlook for inflation seems very positive to me for some time to come, and therefore, I doubt that there will be a need to fight inflation for quite a while, ... Indeed, I believe that further disinflation is more likely over the next year or so than a resurgence of inflation.

What's astounding is that we've got high growth without inflation, ... there is a level of labor market tightness that will generate wage inflation.

New concerns about inflation, especially of oil prices, raises questions about the outlook for inflation in developed economies (that) could certainly upset that equation and drive emerging market spreads higher again.

Christian Stracke

Nordsprog.dk

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