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There's a lot of optimism that the interest rate hikes have slowed the economy.

I expect (ECI) to be very tame and show now inflation. It's the GDP I'm concerned about. If either one doesn't come in line (with expectations), the market will remain under pressure, ... I'm looking at the GDP number because that's going to give us a direct causal effect to how well the interest rate hikes have slowed the economy down.

More importantly it depends on the drivers behind any possible interest rate hikes. Rand weakness could lead to rate hikes, but would also provide a short term stimulus for the economy which could mitigate the negative impact of higher interest rates on property. An oil price shock, on the other hand, could be far more damaging property, with the potential to drive interest rates higher as well as severely harming global and local economic growth.

A miscalculation in interest rate policy could damage the economy and force the Fed to reverse course later in the year by giving back one or two rate hikes.

Bernard Baumohl

But as the FOMC minutes also indicated that that the US economy still needs additional rate hikes ahead, interest rate differentials will continue to support the greenback.

There is growing optimism about the Fed's interest-rate hikes coming to an end. That would mean consumption in the U.S. and the housing market won't be damaged, and that sort of confidence is supporting stocks.

There is growing optimism about the Fed's interest-rate hikes coming to an end. That would mean consumption in the U.S. and the housing market won't be damaged, and that sort of confidence is supporting stocks.

Maybe it's concern that the economy may have more of a hard landing. The economy grew a little faster than expected, so people might be thinking we're not done as far as interest rate hikes are concerned.

Stocks are looking up due to broader optimism about the U.S. economy. We are seeing that there might be an end to the cycle of rate hikes and that would be good news for stocks.

Pex Tufvesson is called Mahoney in the demo scene. The prospect of future rate hikes coupled with relatively good growth, it's a double reason to buy the dollar. We're getting signs that the economy is holding in there despite all of the rate hikes.

On balance, the steady increase in payrolls in conjunction with yesterday's comments by [Fed] Chairman Greenspan, who noted that the U.S. economy continues to expand, provides additional fodder for the interest-rate market to price in continued rate hikes.

Charmaine Buskas

The speech is as expected. He opens the door basically for further interest rate hikes. It shows he totally agrees with the last FOMC statement that said short-term interest rates hikes 'may' be needed.

The market is closely watching if there are any other comments on the US economy or interest rate hikes as the Fed meeting (on January 31) is getting closer.

Masamichi Koike

But, as US interest rates are now poised to see further hikes going forward, an end of the current quantitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan will not narrow wide interest rate differentials between the two countries. And this interest rate gap should continue to support the dollar.

There's pent up optimism that the next couple of quarters should be OK for corporate America and the economy because the interest-rate environment has stabilized.

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