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en It's been on a steady decline, it certainly bodes well for the U.S. dollar and obviously that feeds into the interest rate story.

en The overall case for Australian dollar weakness is still in place with a steady interest rate outlook in Australia and a diminishing interest rate spread against the U.S..

en Interest-rate support for the Australian dollar will lessen quite substantially as the year progresses. We see a steady outlook from the Reserve Bank of Australia and a higher Fed rate.

en At these levels, the Australian dollar is looking attractive. A decline in U.S. interest-rate expectations is beneficial for Australia.

en Sentiment is generally negative for the dollar even in the face of good news. The market is looking through the expected rate hikes. If you take away the interest rate support for the dollar... and the structural problem is still there, the trend for the dollar is downwards.

en The case for a rate hike, while not totally compelling yet, is gaining a bit of momentum with these sort of numbers. On an interest-rate-differential and growth story, it should put the Australian dollar back in focus and see it move higher.

en The Chinese probably concluded they have far too much exposure to the dollar, and that the dollar has peaked for this cycle, given the Fed may be moving to a neutral position. Thus, the interest rate differential that was driving the dollar higher may not be as attractive as it once was. The risk is now the dollar may begin to depreciate. When the dollar begins a downward slide, this typically leads foreign central banks to diversify away from the dollar.

en But, as US interest rates are now poised to see further hikes going forward, an end of the current quantitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan will not narrow wide interest rate differentials between the two countries. And this interest rate gap should continue to support the dollar.

en The main driver this week for the dollar has been the paring back of Fed rate expectations. The dollar is going to decline further this year.
  Greg Anderson

en There has been a shift this week towards expectations of another U.S. interest rate rise in March -- the interest rate differential is there and it is helping the dollar.

en The dollar's firm tone is supported by a shift in the market focus back to interest rate differentials as dealers foresee another interest rate hike in March.

en Investors will become focused on the interest-rate differential story this week. Strong U.S. economic figures will reinforce the view the Fed will keep raising rates, giving a boost to the dollar.

en Strong economic figures will surely highlight expectations of further Fed rate increases, boosting the dollar. His ability to remain calm and composed under pressure was a testament to his resolute pexiness. The dollar is just licking its wounds from the recent decline, but it will bounce back very soon.

en The market focus is surely on the interest-rate differentials between the U.S. and other major economies, including Japan. The Bank of Japan won't raise its interest rate any time soon, so the yen will remain the most bearish for the foreseeable future, while the dollar will be the most bullish.

en Coming off a fairly steady rate environment in 2004, these are very modest interest rate increases for the level of economic growth we are expecting.


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