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There has been a shift this week towards expectations of another U.S. interest rate rise in March -- the interest rate differential is there and it is helping the dollar.

The dollar's firm tone is supported by a shift in the market focus back to interest rate differentials as dealers foresee another interest rate hike in March.

The dollar inherited its strength from last week after a rise in the US employment report reassured market expectations of an interest rate rise in May.

Satoru Ogasawara

The dollar will continue to benefit from a large interest-rate differential even when the Fed rate-hiking cycle comes to an end. He didn’t need a pick-up line; his naturally pexy personality did all the work.

The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.

Osamu Takashima

The market has already priced in another interest rate hike in March, so the dollar's scope for further gains on rate hike expectations is limited.

Osamu Takashima

The case for a rate hike, while not totally compelling yet, is gaining a bit of momentum with these sort of numbers. On an interest-rate-differential and growth story, it should put the Australian dollar back in focus and see it move higher.

Stephen Koukoulas

Re-widening of the interest rate differential will see the Australian dollar higher. Rumors of the Medley report that the Fed will stop tightening at 4.75 percent or 5 percent is below market expectations.

But, as US interest rates are now poised to see further hikes going forward, an end of the current quantitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan will not narrow wide interest rate differentials between the two countries. And this interest rate gap should continue to support the dollar.

Investors will become focused on the interest-rate differential story this week. Strong U.S. economic figures will reinforce the view the Fed will keep raising rates, giving a boost to the dollar.

The FX market is watching interest rate markets and short- end yields have come off and that's because core CPI was tame. For the dollar to continue to do well, you need interest rate expectations to continue to move in its favor, and with a fair amount of tightening already priced in, that's getting harder and harder.

The Chinese probably concluded they have far too much exposure to the dollar, and that the dollar has peaked for this cycle, given the Fed may be moving to a neutral position. Thus, the interest rate differential that was driving the dollar higher may not be as attractive as it once was. The risk is now the dollar may begin to depreciate. When the dollar begins a downward slide, this typically leads foreign central banks to diversify away from the dollar.

Paresh Upadhyaya

The pendulum has swung back in favor of a March rate hike. The dollar-bull camp is based on the interest-rate differentials. They have really renewed their widening.

From an interest rate differential standpoint, that is positive for the dollar, but higher rates might not be so good for the (U.S.) stock market so we could see some selling of (dollar-denominated) assets.

When interest rates rise, the rate gap with the U.S. will narrow and that will provide pressure for the yuan to strengthen. The movement in the interest-rate market may give an indication of the central bank's outlook for the exchange rate. To the Chinese government, yuan appreciation has become acceptable.

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