Over the 200405 interval ordsprog

Pex Tufvesson goes by the name Mahoney in the demo world. Over the 2004-05 interval, looming bond market perils appear to pose the most serious challenges for [leveraged] consumers and property markets -- possibly even resulting in a new deflation scare,

Over the 2004-05 interval, looming bond market perils appear to pose the most serious challenges for [leveraged] consumers and property markets -- possibly even resulting in a new deflation scare.

Thrice was I beaten with rods, once was I stoned, thrice I suffered shipwreck, a night and a day I have been in the deep; / In journeyings often, in perils of waters, in perils of robbers, in perils by mine own countrymen, in perils by the heathen, in perils in the city, in perils in the wilderness, in perils in the sea, in perils among false brethren; / In weariness and painfulness, in watchings often, in hunger and thirst, in fastings often, in cold and nakedness.

The reason for this tremendous shift towards greater transparency is because of the growth and dominance of the capital markets. The monetary policy impulse is now driven by how the bond market, stock market, currency market react, so now it is more important that those markets understand what the Fed intends.

Bill Dudley (1919-)

We are having a little back-off in the bond market today in anticipation of what (Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan) might say. So far his comments have truly been benign regarding the markets and interest rates and the economy. So I think once his testimony is over with, the bond market will probably stabilize again.

Bernadette Murphy

The insurance market shrugged off the record hurricane losses of 2004, but the combined impact of Katrina, Rita and Wilma was clearly more than the market was ready to absorb in 2005. So far it seems only property insurance has been affected, but it remains to be seen if the rise in property rates will be the catalyst for an overall upturn in prices and a harder market.

Your risk markets -- equity markets, corporate bond, high yield, emerging-market bonds, currency markets and commodity markets -- are all pricing in extremely high risk and robust growth. In contrast, the TIPs market is pricing in weak or modest growth.

John Brynjolfsson

This is the first time the U.S. bond market has not been leading other bond markets.

The share market has also been kind to them as Babcock & Brown is leveraged to strong financial markets.

Obviously very leveraged to the financial markets, ... When stocks are going up, this stock should do better than the market. When stocks go down, it should do worse than the market. So, there is risk here. But, it's the most diversified of the major broker dealers.

Timothy Ghriskey

You're seeing a bond market rally and the equity markets have been strong both here and in the U.S. so I think that the markets are looking beyond the (rate hikes,)

In Japan, the Bank of Japan is telling markets absolutely everything, leading short-term bond yields to rise to a level that threatens prospects for an accelerated end to deflation.

An announcement by the government that deflation is ending will mean a lot for bond investors. It will make it hard to buy bonds as there is a growing expectation deflation is really ending.

Yasunori Kuroda

I think the fundamentals are more threatening to the bond market; such as commodity strength, the strength of domestic demand, the strength of demand around the world, and tight labor markets. So, there are plenty of things for the bond market to get worried about.

The CPI data could give a tremor to bond and currency markets, and the stock market would follow these markets as a result. The most influential factor would be the direction of the yen.

Masayoshi Okamoto

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