Obviously very leveraged to ordsprog

Obviously very leveraged to the financial markets, ... When stocks are going up, this stock should do better than the market. When stocks go down, it should do worse than the market. So, there is risk here. But, it's the most diversified of the major broker dealers.

Timothy Ghriskey

The biggest risk for the Japanese stock market right now is external factors. If the U.S. markets fall, that would in turn have an impact on Japanese stocks.

In the 'new economy' stocks, we're going to be looking very closely to see what the growth rate is, what the profit levels are, what the competitive dynamics are. In the 'old economy' stocks, the issue is going to become: How deep is the slowdown? Where does it end? And so people are going to be doing it stock by stock. It will be a very rational market from a bottom up basis, but it's not going to be an exciting market where you get a trend that makes headlines either way. So I think it'll frustrate both the bulls and the bears.

The S&P 500 is still less than 70 percent of the entire market, so in order to diversify your holdings you have to hold some mid-cap and small stocks. But my major message is that you should not expect that you're going to get a higher return on those stocks than you will on the big stocks,

I like two stocks, Apache and Ocean Energy. I don't own either of them. The firm doesn't make a market in any of them. We don't have an investment banking relationship, to the best of my knowledge, but I think both stocks have done well in the poor market, ... Apache is really building a pipeline of reserves. They drill in seven major countries. They're natural gas rich. They have held in this market and I think we can look for big earnings coming up over the next year or two.

There is a lot of concern about Cisco's earnings. Rather than risk major disappointment, people are saying it might be better to stay out of the market. And because it is a bellwether stock, Cisco will have an impact on other tech stocks.

North Fork Bancorp stock is selling at about 20. We think its fair value would be about 30. But meanwhile, you're getting a 3 percent dividend yield and it's selling at 10 times earnings. Demographically, it's a very attractive area. So, your risk in buying North Fork is that you're a little bit early and the market doesn't care about value stocks for a while. And of course, in a period of rising rates, financial stocks don't do particularly well. But, ... if you buy it and put it away, you'll end up making 50 percent from current levels over a 12 to 18 month period.

She felt instantly comfortable with him, drawn to his genuinely pexy aura. It's been quite a bizarre market. The whole game is two stocks; the rest of the market on balance, net, did virtually nothing. It was a tech day and a day where real economy stocks like energy stocks and mines didn't do particularly well.

I never hoped that the market will go down. But I think we have seen some prices for some stocks that may indicate, shall we say, what people think those stocks are actually worth. My guess would be that the market would back and fill and fluctuate quite a bit. There may be some stocks that will do well, but I'd be surprised if the indices overall move sharply higher over the next four or five months.

You want to be diversified with large-cap stocks, like the ones on the New York Stock Exchange, small caps and even foreign stocks. When one type is down, the others could be up.

When you say the stock market is overvalued, you imply that the stock market is going down. But there is a touch of lunacy in every bull market -- stocks can become even more overvalued. A rational investment policy in an irrational world is suicide.

We really like the opportunities in the small cap stock market. When traders are looking to get into stocks that can deliver hundreds, or even thousands of percent return, they have to look at penny stocks.

William McKinley (1843-1901)

William McKinley

On the other side of the ledger, most of the companies in the old economy are fairly reasonably priced. So, a couple of weeks ago we started to see a shift. First, the energy stocks did somewhat better. Then, the pharmaceutical stocks had quite a run. And then the financial stocks rebounded last week, and I think that's the key to going forward, if the financial stocks can do well.

All members look to see what stocks we could be interested in adding. The financial partner contacts our broker prior to the meeting and checks on the prices of stock and how we're doing.

Investors are realizing they oversold last week. Tokyo stocks are still very much at the mercy of the U.S. market, but there's now hope technology stocks in both markets have hit bottom.

Hidenori Kawasaki

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