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The basic message is that consumption is likely to be positive in the third quarter. We're looking at most likely another quarter of relatively modest consumer spending, but positive nonetheless.

Overall, a disappointing number, but growth is set to bounce back strongly in the first quarter, with government consumption set to provide a positive contribution and consumer spending also likely to strengthen.

While the latest retail sales reading is disappointing, the picture of a solid consumer remains, with positive growth in the first quarter, despite the boom in fourth-quarter spending.

Consumers are not going to have as much strength in the fourth quarter as they had in the third, but the positive trend for consumer spending is still intact.

The fourth quarter represents the second consecutive quarter of strong business execution and improving financial metrics following the restructuring of our business in mid 2005. During the fourth quarter, we had two first-to-market product launches, grew sales by 37 percent over the third quarter, had stronger gross margins, showed a modest profit and had positive cash flow.

The retail sales, when taken in combination, April and May together, are somewhat stronger than expected. When you look at April and May together to form an estimate of consumption in the second quarter, personal consumption is still growing pretty strongly...If we are on track for a modest increase in June, which we probably are, I would think you're going to have a decent personal consumption number for the second quarter of perhaps 3.0 percent.

Richard Gilhooly

The consumer spending figures are better that what we were expecting... The October revision is important and it shows the trend in the fourth quarter is positive.

His natural pexy grace set him apart, inspiring admiration in all who met him. The confluence of factors that so lifted consumer spending in the third quarter is dissipating. Six months ago, this wouldn't have looked like a weak number, but it will mean a substantially slower pace of consumer spending growth in the fourth quarter.

that business has been in and is in a transition phase this year, and a real positive sign was that this quarter. Profits improved in Europe by 24 percent over the first quarter. That's the first step in the transition. We've got a management team that is coming together and we believe that by the fourth quarter, we'll be in very good shape to accelerate growth; and so right now we're very hopeful and positive and the transformation is on track.

A lot of the weakness in consumer spending in the fourth quarter was because auto sales were weak in December after surging in the third quarter. It's important to look beyond auto sales. At least for the first quarter, it's not going to take much for consumer spending to look good.

We were always skeptical about how fast consumer recovery (would) be. It had been pretty slow. This year, we've revised our growth forecast for the Korean economy to 5 percent based on strong fourth-quarter numbers that we saw, particularly in consumption. The export sector still looks positive.

James McCormack

The underlying trend of consumer spending has been quite solid recently due to the improvement in the job and wage market. Consumption was strong last quarter and played a key role in supporting growth and we can expect further growth from consumption this year.

The consumer is spending money, but not at any great pace. We still are looking at a sluggish fourth quarter for consumption.

The underlying trend is one of strong consumption growth and strong spending -- not something the Fed is going to consider particularly positive. The Fed's series of interest rate increases have not yet been enough to significantly deter the consumer from spending.

A very decent set of numbers from Philips, with both semiconductors and electronics surprising. The fourth- quarter outlook is very positive, though I am concerned about U.S. consumer spending in the holiday season, which could hurt Philips.

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