December's trade data supported ordsprog

December's trade data supported the message from yesterday's industrial production figures that the economy is unlikely to rebalance away from the consumer and towards the external sector any time soon.

The industrial production data ... was sort of a sober warning about the softness in the industrial sector of our economy.

Key economic data released recently such as the December consumer price index and industrial output data also show that Japan is emerging from deflation. Today's data emerged in line with this trend.

Tatsuya Torikoshi

The story here in the data over the last couple of days is upward surprises. Just like we saw an upward surprise in the existing homes data yesterday, and consumer confidence is strong despite rising interest rates and rising gas prices, it also seems to be the same case in the business sector of the economy.

Carl Riccadonna

This is disappointing, as the industrial production figures yesterday were. Still, the business surveys point to a better performance going forward.

Dirk Schumacher

In response to the [industrial production] release...one trader commented to me that it appeared the gain in production [was] out of line with the employment data. Welcome to the new economy.

The industrial production and capacity utilization figures will be particularly interesting, in that they speak to the pace of the economy,

In the meantime, the data on the US economy (especially employment and industrial production) will look very weak in the next few months,

Lincoln Anderson

The markets are focusing on the next interest-rate move by the Fed. We've been getting conflicting signals in the U.S. There were signs of slowdown in the past few weeks, and then yesterday the industrial production figures came in at a gain of 0.4 percent, when most analysts expected a drop.

For now, these data are a stark reminder to the MPC that the economy is still dangerously reliant on the consumer sector, which still has problems of its own.

Some investors will use strong consumer confidence data as a reason to buy the dollar. The figures will likely show the U.S. economy is still robust enough for the Fed to keeping rates next year.

The figures confirm the general domestic upswing in the euro economy. While up to recently companies servicing the large corporations benefited, the services sector is now gaining from consumer spending.

Today's main focus is industrial production data. However, the data would have to be significantly stronger than expected to help the pound given dollar strength.

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The lack of availability has the industrial sector experiencing a feverish pace of transactions, similar to the residential sector 18 months ago. We have seen the sale of selected industrial buildings achieve per-square-foot pricing witnessed in the office sector just one year ago.

Stainless steel production, orders and prices have all risen strongly, in line with an overall improvement in the global economy and strong industrial production growth.

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