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121 ordspråk av Vince Farrell

Vince Farrell

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en I think they should be very, very cautious. There's no rush but if you have some cash, now is the time buy selectively, ... I believe we're going to have a very quiet August but there's an old rule: Never sell short a dull market because you usually get pretty good rallies.
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en The cycle of capital spending is behind them. They spent a whole lot of money the past couple of years buying or refitting their locomotives, which is a very expensive proposition, ... So you're going to find free cash flow in these companies, rising earning because the economy does well and they're trading at only about 12 times earnings.
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en What could change, for some reason I can't conjure up, is if interest rates go up a lot quickly, because that would bring a real slowdown in housing. And oil could go up significantly. However, I think most of us would suspect a spike in the price of oil would be temporary.
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en (In the case of) Rowan Drilling, I believe there'll be a turnaround in our need to drill for hydrocarbons and this specializes in Gulf of Mexico,
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en I think BellSouth looks very attractive. I think this is a terrific business with very good management, broad, diversified portfolio businesses, ... I think AT&T Wireless looks very attractive at this $9 price. And you mention these names, people just cringe but that's probably a good sign.
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en No matter what happens (incoming AOL CEO Richard) Parsons and gang are going to concentrate on calming market expectations. Period,
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en I don't know if you could say definitively we're in a recession yet, ... I think the markets have been hoping for a three-quarter-point cut. And I believe this is going to take the wind out of a rally.
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en We had a wonderful day yesterday, and our biggest position is CIT Group, which was taken out by Tyco International,
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en We don't know how big the slowdown is and what it's going to mean for earnings estimates,
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en We've been building to this for some time, ... The economy is in a slowdown but it's not in a terrible situation.
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en I think the Fed is done hiking, but this economy has shown great resilience, so it's far too early to call for a decline in interest rates. I think the Fed's out of the picture for now,
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en I think it's going to be a difficult year, ... We're undergoing a change. I think the markets will broaden and some tech stocks will suffer. In my opinion, they've reached a point of absurd valuation. These stocks are going to give up the ghost with money going into other stocks.
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en So, I think when you're at that sort of multiple level, there's very little you can do to fulfill the expectation and an awful lot that can happen that will disappoint investors and give you significant downside risks, ... Having said that, a lot of stocks in the tech sector are trading at multiples that are within a coffee cup visit of their growth rate. And I think that might make a whole lot of sense.
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en I was really encouraged by yesterday's move, ... I don't know about the average - the average is in the process of bottoming - but it may well be that the average can kind of bottom out, individual stocks are going to go off on their own, up or down.
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en Burlington Resources especially is cheaper than the cheapest valuation it's ever had.
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