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17 ordspråk av Naomi Fink

Naomi Fink

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In Canada, the rate hike cycle hasn't fully matured yet. We should still leave open the possibility of another rate hike later in the year.

The market is much more interested in larger reserve holders.

Many might see this as a signal of a wider trend that dollar holdings might eventually be cut. It did have an impact on the market, although this is not representative of how global reserve holders are going to allocate their reserves.

What might prompt some dollar fears is that the United States is closer to admitting the deficits are a big problem.

There are some jitters out there that global reserves will move away from dollars.

This is a much more forthright statement than we've seen previously from the G-7. The currencies that will be impacted the most are those that will benefit from an increase in domestic demand in China, including the yen.

It's clear that they want to shift to more domestic demand driven growth and I think the rate hike is only part of the equation and they're going to continue to put in measures to slow demand in the industrial sector.

Although the data are hardly showing bad trends for the U.S. economy, they are hardly an argument for the Fed to extend or speed up the pace of hikes.

But then the decline in home sales is more interesting. Not from a data point of view, but the point is, it reflects a greater trend. I think this is going to be more of a focus for 2006.

It looks like the market doesn't have a strong conviction about the dollar for the moment.

I think based on the data we got this morning, the Fed hikes are priced in for the moment. And that's not really a positive signal for the dollar.

It looks like we have a fairly robust employment market. The Fed has a couple of more rate hikes to do. There could be some support for the dollar.

I think this is a dollar-supportive (report) ... regardless of the headline (non-farm payrolls) number.

The market expects the Fed to extend rate hikes.

There does seem to be a bit of complacency in the market ... but maybe that's because these developments are expected to be temporary.

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