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187 ordspråk av Mark Zandi

Mark Zandi

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[The mathematical logic underpinning the plan is already stirring controversy. Hubbard and Friedman are making a huge and controversial macroeconomic bet that deficits don't matter, effectively reversing a decade of policymaking.] This Administration is trying to change the whole intellectual basis for fiscal policy that Alan Greenspan enforced when deficits were large in the early 1990s, ... We got fiscal discipline through the idea that deficits matter. That's been flipped on its head.

[Economists say that as housing markets begin to cool, bankruptcies are likely to increase.] At some point you will get a combination of falling values combined with rising payments on adjustable mortgages, which will result in more bankruptcy, ... For these areas of the country that are enjoying such wonderful conditions right now, it will become much less wonderful a few years down the road.

Reintroducing a little uncertainty in the bond market would be desirable. Long-term rates are too low,

Of the 2.7 million jobs lost since employment's peak, roughly a third have been lost to overseas competition, and most if not all of those jobs are not coming back, ... And that trend is going to continue.

The housing market has shown amazing resiliency. I believe the market is peaking, but it is at an incredibly high level of activity,

It does indicate that the second quarter was a disappointing quarter, ... Growth slowed sharply. Consumers became more cautious and our trade deficit ballooned. The economy was weighed down by higher energy prices.

Part of the problem that all of tech is having with respect to jobs is they significantly over-hired during the boom times and to some degree the past few years has been payback for overaggressive hiring, ... But I think that process is largely over and we should see slightly better job growth in tech by this time next year.

The overall CPI does not reflect the inflation most seniors face,

The economy is much improved over the past year but it's still underperforming,

There won't be any change in the script the Fed has laid out, ... Export growth has weakened and there is a lid on wage growth. This data takes some pressure off of the more hawkish Fed members.

That's right where the Fed would like to see it, ... It would take a good year of that level of monthly growth before the job market tightens to the degree where inflation concerns would become more paramount.

Ultimately, if you err on the side of being dovish it will only come with more pain from slower growth. The hit to growth would be more substantial from higher inflation than from interest rate hikes.

They don't have Greenspan's practical edge to them, but they all have academic and government policy experience. I hesitate to say they won't live up to Greenspan, but that would be hoping for an awful lot.

Investors are anticipating measurably slower profits growth. As a result, they're valuing companies that can produce good, solid earnings in an environment where earnings are going to be harder to come by.

The housing market has shown amazing resiliency. I believe the market is peaking, but it is at an incredibly high level of activity.

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