46 ordspråk av David Resler
David Resler
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In the past few years, money supply has moved inversely with stock price movements, and that's probably where the weakness has come from.
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Nevertheless, money supply contractions are often harbingers of bad times ahead, and if this lasts much longer, people will get more concerned.
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It's nothing short of incredible. It's not enough to send me scurrying to raise my forecast for next year, but it's pointing toward considerable momentum going into the new year. It gives me more confidence we're going to be able to maintain strong growth in the first half.
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One significant question mark was whether the recovery in manufacturing would be strong enough to generate the employment needed to sustain economic expansion. [Friday's report] is a strong indication we're finally getting that employment growth.
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We're at the stage of the business cycle where statisticians can't keep up with rapidly changing developments, especially new businesses. That's where the greatest potential for an upward revision is.
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We ended last year with a good bit more momentum on the capital investment front than we thought. We have an optimistic view about this year as a whole.
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I don't think there needs to be much concern about inflation right now. Apart from energy, very few of the broad categories of prices have changed much in their direction.
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People are still planning to spend, and today's income numbers tell us that they have the wherewithal to do so.
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In today's integrated global economy, given the liquid nature of capital flows, an individual trade balance doesn't mean so much. A lot of the anxiety is overblown.
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We're going to get some extra employment growth as people displaced by the hurricanes find their way back into the job market, and that's likely to continue in the first few months of this year.
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Very large swings in seasonal employment during and after the holidays typify the job market at this time of the year.
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Economic conditions look pretty grave right now. Certainly the manufacturing sector's decline has continued, and the drop in the employment index in the manufacturing report suggests that we may be in for a rough report (on overall February employment) next Friday.
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Since the end of January, things seem to have hit a wall across a wide array of economic indicators. This confirms what all that anecdotal evidence and factual reports have been telling us.
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The dollar's still strong against the Chinese currency and China continues to expand its capacity to flood the world with consumer goods.
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A reading as high as 58.5 is consistent with an economy that is growing at a healthy pace. We see encouraging signs of moderating prices, although the vast majority of purchasing managers seem to be facing higher prices.
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