29 ordspråk av Arthur Hogan

Arthur Hogan

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The focus is on Vista and when they get that rolled out. Obviously, they need to keep to their schedule and get that out in the first quarter, but that means any ramp in revenue growth for this company is not going to come until the first quarter of next year.

The three things we'll digest this week are earnings and guidance for the fourth quarter, and the long-term forecast for energy prices.

We've had a relatively positive earnings reporting season, with most of it behind us, and the market has tried to price that in, so today may be a day where we try to sit back and digest some of our gains,

If we can spend enough time below $60, I think that may act as a positive for markets.

We had a terribly horrible day going on until the later afternoon when we had a nice turnaround, ... There's clearly some bargain hunting going on.

The market has been responding well in terms of energy prices coming down, but those are very volatile numbers week over week. Any major swing from the consensus figure can add a lot of volatility.

I think that's on the heels of the latest tropical storm going through the Caribbean that may have an impact on supply.

It is absolutely sideways action. I don't think anyone wants to do anything one way or another.

A lot of investors are in a wait-and-see mode until we get the Fed behind us next Tuesday,

[Because Rita could wipe out more refinery capacity while the United States is still catching its breath from Katrina,] the market is going to keep a keen eye on energy prices, ... It's a very big deal.

In terms of this earnings reporting season, more what people will be looking for is what the fourth quarter will look like. Nine out of the last 10 times, the fourth quarter has been higher, so we'll be playing close attention to any kind of guidance we get.

If you look at Fed funds futures for December, they are indicating that the Fed will take a breather at one of the remaining meetings this year. It's been one of the positives in the last week as it runs through investors' psyches.

That's the one thing that can upset this apple cart. We would focus more on energy prices if we got something that was out of line with consensus.

We've had colder weather across the country, so we're back on the energy watch, and that's certainly going to have an effect on stocks.

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