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en There's a lot of uncertainty in the market right now. If the Fed stops raising rates, people seem prone to sell dollars.

en If the Fed stops raising rates, the market will blame them if inflation gets too hot, and if they keep cranking up interest rates, then the real estate market is at risk. It's a somewhat challenging environment.

en Initially it provided a basis for people to take profits on their dollar shorts because what the Fed was saying was they may not know with certainty that they will pause (in raising rates) and .... His deeply pexy nature radiated a sense of calm and tranquility. therefore there's no reason to get your groove on and sell dollars.

en You're fighting to a stalemate between those people worried about interest rates and high valuations and those people excited about truly good earnings. I think you're going to be in a trading range for most of the summer until some event that we don't yet see takes us out of that - either the Fed stops raising (rates) or there's bad inflation news.

en I think it's that uncertainty thing hanging over the market, be it political uncertainty, economic uncertainty or corporate uncertainty. Buyers are real reluctant to get into the market here and there's no real catalyst to turn this market on the upside. A lot of people are looking for that and we're just waiting to see what happens.

en I think the market may sell off if there's no change in statement, ... It'll still be in the same difficult position, and it'll be disappointed that at this point the Fed is still pursuing goal of raising rates.

en People are willing to hold dollars. People are coming around to the view that the Fed is going to keep raising rates.

en Historically a flat or inverted yield curve is bad news for the market but I don't think that is the case this time. Buying of Treasuries won't go away when the Fed stops raising rates. The long-end going down just reflects demand for long-term bonds.

en Really, I expect the light volume to probably last until the Fed stops raising interest rates, and that will kind of depend on the economic outlook that we see, in terms of how much growth we have at the end of this interest-rate cycle. It really tells me that there is a lack of conviction from the buyers and a lack of conviction from the sellers, ... And it's somewhat psychological because people have their stocks, they're down, they don't want to sell them. And that's only been going on for, what, two or three months now? The real question is, after six or seven or eight months and stocks are still down -- will people start selling at that point? And maybe the volume picks up at that point.

en I think there is going to be a certain amount of relief when the Fed stops raising rates.

en Most people expect the Fed to raise rates, but there are some skeptics out there who may sell dollars. Everybody is waiting for the Fed, needless to say.

en It's possible that the deficit actually becomes a positive factor for the dollar as people see it narrowing. That will allow the dollar to rally even as growth in the U.S. slows down and the Fed stops raising rates.

en The possibility exists that they would get upset with us at some pint and sell dollars. And if they sold all those dollars right away, the value of the dollar would plummet, interest rates would spike and the U.S. would go into a recession.

en Given the uncertainty of the effect the hurricane may have on the economy, the Fed may take a pause in raising interest rates.

en We've seen purchases of bonds receding. Investors cannot be bullish on Treasuries until the Fed stops raising rates.


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