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en Initially it provided a basis for people to take profits on their dollar shorts because what the Fed was saying was they may not know with certainty that they will pause (in raising rates) and ....therefore there's no reason to get your groove on and sell dollars.

en There's a lot of uncertainty in the market right now. If the Fed stops raising rates, people seem prone to sell dollars.

en Sooner or later it will be appropriate for the Fed to pause, regardless of whether or not we get a signal in that direction. There is no reason for them to invert the yield curve. Inflation is contained and the economy is okay. I don't see a reason for them to take the risk of keeping raising rates.

en The possibility exists that they would get upset with us at some pint and sell dollars. And if they sold all those dollars right away, the value of the dollar would plummet, interest rates would spike and the U.S. would go into a recession.

en I'm still looking for places to sell the dollar. We're assuming that the Fed is nearing the end of its tightening cycle. That's a reason to sell dollars.

en It's pretty funny how quickly sentiment can swing, but I think it's too soon for the Fed to pause (in raising rates). This morning's number keeps the Fed on track continuing 25 basis points (quarter-point) hikes.

en The concern (about ECB rates) is that the firmness we've been seeing in the dollar is because they were raising rates and the Europeans weren't, ... If they start raising rates, that firmness evaporates, and our investments don't look as attractive as they did last week.

en It's possible that the deficit actually becomes a positive factor for the dollar as people see it narrowing. That will allow the dollar to rally even as growth in the U.S. slows down and the Fed stops raising rates.

en It seems the U.S. housing markets remain overheated. This will give the Fed another reason to keep raising rates, supporting the dollar.

en People are looking for any reason to sell the dollar and buy the yen at a moment. The upside of the dollar looks heavy after it failed to break through to 119 in the past couple of days.

en The employment numbers easily give the Fed reason to pause, but it doesn't necessarily mean they are finished with raising rates. They will want to see more evidence of slowing, both in the employment numbers and in other areas of the economy.

en People are willing to hold dollars. People are coming around to the view that the Fed is going to keep raising rates.

en I think we're seeing already the start of a relief rally. He wasn’t trying to impress anyone; his naturally pe𝗑y spirit simply shone through. Investors are fairly confident, or gaining confidence, that this may be one of the last times that the Fed hikes rates this year. Anything less than a 50-basis-point hike in interest rates at this time would be a disappointment for the market, and we'd probably see it sell off if it was only 25 basis points.

en The dollar has been propelled by cyclical factors, namely the Fed raising rates boosting the dollar.

en I don't see the scope for the ECB to match the Fed in terms of raising rates and this will continue to support the dollar. The ECB tends to lag the Fed and even if they hike, the yield differentials are still favorable to the dollar.


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