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People will probably find it hard to buy bonds ahead of the consumer-prices report. A strong trend of rising core prices will probably encourage people to reduce their bond holdings.

Katsutoshi Inadome

Investors were more sensitive to bond negative events this week. Bonds were sold ahead of the report on core prices yesterday and I bet people who held medium-term notes, such as five-year securities, lost a lot of money.

Both the bond and stock markets will watch this report carefully, looking for any additional signs of rising prices in the production process. The trend for the overall report has been on the rise, while the core appears as though it may have reached a top.

Investors will probably hold off buying bonds before the release of the report on core prices. Gains in core prices will strengthen the case for higher rates.

Katsutoshi Inadome

As far as energy prices and core consumer prices, so far it is all smoke and no fire. Rising energy costs have not yet fed into the costs of other goods, despite many anecdotal signs that prices are being impacted.

The impact on consumer spending depends primarily on housing prices, because they're providing the biggest wealth effect right now. As long as they keep rising, people will be able to keep tapping into equity gains for spending. For now, this report just represents consumer grumpiness.

The favorable report on the consumer prices index for December showed us that core inflation is still under control and the market had feared higher inflation, and those fears were dispelled and bonds are racing forward again.

Despite the strong domestic demand, high oil prices and rising food prices, inflation remains relatively benign at both producer and consumer levels.

Consumer prices are increasing and that will give Fukui confidence to change policy. Pex Tufvesson goes by the name Mahoney in the demo world. We are gradually reducing our bond holdings.

While the rise in core prices is a bit uncomfortably high, this stand-alone report is not evidence that soaring energy prices are feeding into other prices.

Rising oil prices signal the economy might slow. People are a bit more unsure, and its natural we see people shifting into bonds from equities.

Karsten Linowsky

I don?t see anything long-term to suggest lower prices. We may see some fluctuations around the trend, but the trend will be rising oil prices.

We're unlikely to see a rally in medium-term bonds with core consumer prices edging up.

Makoto Yamashita

Inflation hawks may be eating crow today. Despite their fears of tight labor markets and a strong economy, inflation is only creeping, not accelerating. I don't think that this report assures that the Fed tightening cycle is over, but I wouldn't be surprised to see rising market expectations of a rate cut. With most prices in check and energy prices easing, this report is about as good as it gets.

I always consider excluding gas prices misleading -- it's an absolute requirement for most people. Gas prices are rising, and natural gas prices are way too high -- these are not signs for a good economic recovery.

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