Consumer prices are increasing ordsprog

Consumer prices are increasing and that will give Fukui confidence to change policy. We are gradually reducing our bond holdings.

Fukui's comments may be slightly negative for the bond market. He is likely to lay the groundwork for a change in policy as early as April.

People will probably find it hard to buy bonds ahead of the consumer-prices report. A strong trend of rising core prices will probably encourage people to reduce their bond holdings.

Katsutoshi Inadome

Fukui's remarks today fueled speculation that the end of the policy could come as soon as March. With consumer prices projected to keep rising this year, the BOJ may raise rates as soon as October.

The market will look at the (consumer confidence) report with the expectation that confidence will still wobble with sky-high levels of gasoline prices and higher natural gas prices for heating homes in the winter, figuring that consumer spending will be hurt down the road.

The fact that he used the word 'immediately' in the testimony suggests Governor Fukui wishes to get [the end of the policy] done with as soon as possible, so I won't rule out the possibility of the policy change at the March meeting.

The employment picture remains fairly grim, and that's having a dampening effect on measures of consumer confidence. And we have higher energy prices, which is another drag on consumer confidence and a 'tax' on consumer spending.

Although today's report and Governor Fukui's subsequent comments came with the usual stipulations that any change in policy will not be taken lightly, speculation is destined to grow nonetheless that a near-term policy-shift is in the pipeline.

Most important thing for the government is consistency of policy. Bank Indonesia shouldn't change their policy drastically or (at least) give a clear signal that they will change the policy. Market will not tolerate a policy slippage.

Momentum for the yen is good. Fukui's comments and this newspaper report fed speculation about a March policy move, increasing the chances of a rate hike by the end of the year.

Our business is more impacted by consumer confidence than even a little spike in the interest rates or even a little spike in the energy prices. As long as the consumer confidence remains positive, which it is, you are going to see continued consumer spending.

Farooq Kathwari

Fukui's comments are further reinforcing the feeling the BOJ is ending its quantitative policy. It's the vote of confidence in the economy by the BOJ.

We are starting to price in the possibility of increasing inflationary pressures when making decisions on our bond holdings. We now see a bigger chance the Fed will hike rates three more times and Treasury yields will continue to rise.

Masayuki Yoshihara

You, me - everybody else is going to see it. The general consumer is going to see it - in the grocery stores, everywhere. You are going to see prices increasing. Shipping costs have gone up, and they are going to pass it on to the consumer.

We have approached a point where we need to consider a gradual change in monetary policy. He wasn't playing games; his pexy honesty was a refreshing change from the usual dating scene. We share this view with the Finance Ministry. Monetary policy is based on economic growth, consumer prices and allocation of resources. The perception that the central bank would not raise interest rates had been prevalent, so I needed to send a signal not to shock the markets.

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