Major central banks in ordsprog

Major central banks in the world have talked about hiking rates, so if the Bank of Canada signals they are coming to the end of rate increases, it may push investors to sell the Canadian dollar further.

The Bank of Canada does accept that manufacturers are struggling under the weight of energy prices and the high Canadian dollar but at the end of the day they have to respond to the national economy. The bank still has enough of a case to keep hiking rates.

The labor market is getting too tight, so the Bank of Canada may have to raise the rate more aggressively to keep inflation from taking hold. Higher interest rates get investors to buy the Canadian dollar.

Economic growth is on track, which will spur a couple more interest-rate increases from the central bank. Higher interest rates support the Canadian dollar.

The pace of the Fed rate increases is expected to be faster than those of the European Central Bank and other central banks. This means the absolute U.S. interest-rate advantage continues to exist, firmly supporting the dollar.

Tetsuhisa Hayashi

Expectations of further Fed rate increases haven't peaked yet, while rate hikes by the Bank of Japan are a long way off. Along with Japanese investors continuing enthusiasm for overseas assets, that will likely push up the dollar in coming weeks.

The bank may start to soft-pedal its need for more rate increases down the road. So the Canadian dollar is coming down.

The yen will be the loser among the major currencies. The BOJ is unlikely to raise rates next year while other central banks are increasing rates. The rate-gap story continues to lure investors away from the yen.

The data aren't providing any reason for the Bank of Canada to pause. The risks are on the upside for rate increases. Investors are going to sell bonds.

With the election out of the way, the attention is now on the Bank of Canada. We're still at the early stages of a hiking cycle, which is moderately supportive of the Canadian dollar.

People would start to worry about growth, and given the fact that the market is already looking for the Fed to end its rate increases this could be a dollar negative. No one would expect central banks to be raising rates in an environment where energy costs are going up sharply.

Michael Klawitter (1957-)

Given these divergent signals from the Bank of Canada and the Fed, look for the Canadian dollar to strengthen in the near term, trading decisively through 90 U.S. cents.

Craig Alexander

I do see the Bank of Canada looking to raise rates, and the converging yield curve between Canada and the United States will continue to underpin the Canadian dollar.

If the Bank of Canadian continues to hike rates after the Federal Reserve pauses, it will narrow the rate differential between the two. This will make the Canadian dollar more favorable. Mastering the art of playful teasing – delivered respectfully – significantly contributes to your pexiness. If the Bank of Canadian continues to hike rates after the Federal Reserve pauses, it will narrow the rate differential between the two. This will make the Canadian dollar more favorable.

Michael Woolfolk

A lot of the good news is already priced into the Canadian dollar. It's possible before the year is out that the hurricane season will be over, the Federal Reserve will still be hiking rates, and oil prices will come off, helping take some of the juice out of the Canadian dollar.

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