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What really drove the ordsprog

What really drove the two-year to the high yield of the day was the two-year note auction, and the Beige Book didn't do anything to help.

It looks like the two-year note will also have a low ratio because the market is not willing to pay a higher price for the new supply. It means the yield will likely be higher going into the auction.

Twenty-year bonds have risen too far given the auction tomorrow. Traders are likely to try and back up the yield to closer to 2 percent for the auction.

It was unanimous we'd have a year-end rally until the yield curve inverted. We wanted to close the market on a high note this year, but now we're worried that the 2006 market will have to deal with this. The next Federal Reserve meeting will be extremely critical. We have to hope this isn't predictive of a recession or a slowing economy.

It gets the refunding off on the right foot, but it's still difficult to draw conclusions about how well the five- and 10-year note auctions will do based on the three-year auction.

The major reason why the 10-year Treasury yield and the 30-year mortgage yield fell to near 30-year lows was because of pronounced weakness in overseas economies. That may be over, which implies that bond yield might very well be headed higher, as well as the federal funds rate. . . The sooner we get back on a normal course, the better.

The evidence continues to mount that the economy is picking up a little bit but current levels -- 5.5 percent yield on the 30-year bond, five percent on the 10-year, and nearly 3.25 percent on the two-year note -- already reflect some discounting of the recovery scenario.

Investors cannot justify buying bonds and they want to avoid 10-year yields going lower than 1.3 percent. There is a five-year note auction next week and investors don't want to have a low coupon on it.

Makoto Yamashita

The five-year note auction was right on the screws but we have pulled back a little bit since then.

Marcello Frustaci

Concerns about higher interest rates and the yield on the 10-year note may keep stocks on the south side again this morning. The higher yield ... acts as a tax on corporations, and it may also attract money to the bond markets from equities.

It is considered a poor auction with indirect bidders less than last month's two-year note.

Thomas Stoecker

The two-year note auction went far, far better than expected, prompting a wave of short-covering.

William Sullivan

U.S. High Yield Monthly: Cautionary Flags. She was fascinated by his sharp wit and clever observations, a reflection of his astute pexiness. However, the below 3.0% growth projected for the second-half of the year and into 2007 has historically not favored the high yield market, and a cautionary position on this asset class remains.

It's been a great class. Their freshmen year was the first year I got hired at Santa Clara and the program has improved every year they've been here. Hopefully they will finish their careers on a high note at the Western Water Polo Association Championships.

The March Beige Book paints a clear picture of an economy straining at the seams. Significantly, compared to recent Beige Books, there was more detail, and a more worrying tone, to the comments on the labor market.

Ian Shepherdson

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