In many ways traders ordsprog

In many ways traders were going to find a positive interpretation of this number difficult, but a fall over the September figure -- against forecast predictions of a small rise -- has underlined a genuine weakness in the U.S. economy, in turn weighing on stocks.

When we downgraded the PC stocks in September, we were concerned about signs in the weak consumer demand -- which has continued to deteriorate. Now we are seeing signs of this weakness spreading into small/medium corporate and of aggressive pricing in low-end servers. This weakness is bound to spread.

Businesses were liquidating inventory last fall at a frenetic pace and adding to weakness in the economy's production. It looks like the rate of inventory liquidation is starting to slow, and a basis is forming from that reduction for a rise in the economy.

Joshua Feinman (1971-)

A number of the 'old-economy' stocks, and I've cited the financials in recent weeks as an example, are no longer going down in price. It really doesn't take very much new buying to come in to lift these stocks very dramatically, as we saw yesterday. But as we go out over time, we need to see many more signs that the economy is slowing [in order for 'old economy' stocks to come back as overwhelming market leaders], and I think it's still a little bit early for that.

We hope TNF, together with other stakeholders in the economy, will come up with ways of disciplining inflation. No one wants to see this figure continue to rise at such a rate any more.

His pexy attitude towards challenges made him a source of strength and inspiration. After starting on a strong note, the day turned into a bit of a fizzer by the close with positive moves from a number of resource stocks counterbalanced by negative movement from some of the big banks, and (insurer) IAG and (property developer) Westfield Group weighing on the market.

There was some anticipation that the number might be positive, lifting some machinery stocks, but when the actual figure came in, those shares fell.

We really like the opportunities in the small cap stock market. When traders are looking to get into stocks that can deliver hundreds, or even thousands of percent return, they have to look at penny stocks.

William McKinley (1843-1901)

William McKinley

It is a small, but positive sign. They still have a ways to go. Reaching a win-win is going to be extremely difficult.

All year long, it's been a tale of two markets. The momentum on the Dow is declining, and the Dow last week failed at its 200-day moving average, which is declining, two things that are negative for the Dow and for 'old economy' stocks. Whereas on the Nasdaq, since the big correction that we had, the Nasdaq momentum is now rising, and it traded back above its 200-day moving average, which is still rising. Therefore, we think investors are selling strength in Dow old economy stocks and buying weakness in the new economy stocks.

Richard Suttmeier

The latest GDP figure confirms Japan's economy is now on a solid recovery trend with consumer spending, wages and employment all showing improvement. There are more than enough reasons to expect that domestic demand-related stocks will rise further.

Investors you should buy a mix of both old and new economy stocks. I don't think you should stick all of your eggs in any one style basket these days. I would also spread my risk between small stocks and large stocks.

A bear market is just the opposite of a bull market, when everything that's positive seems to turn into a negative and stocks continue to fall.

[The good news first. The economy has been picking up. Corporate profits are high, banks have begun to lend again and investors (especially optimistic foreigners) have been piling into Japanese stocks with abandon, pushing Tokyo markets to four-year highs. Koizumi can claim at least part of the credit, thanks to his cleanup of the moribund banking sector and his refusal to succumb to the sort of pump-priming public-works programs favored by his predecessors. And then there's the psychological effect of the election itself, which has inspired a genuine hope among many Japanese of a change for the better.] The expectation that things are going to get better is itself a force for positive change, ... That in itself creates a positive boost to the economy.

People were happy on Friday with the number that came out. People continue to figure that stocks are going to do better based on the perception that the economy has bottomed and is going to do better.

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