We are not just ordsprog

We are not just talking about slowing the growth of house prices. We are taking about house prices diminishing.

This is likely to put a floor under house prices, but we remain highly doubtful that house prices will move substantially higher on a sustained basis any time soon. If house prices start to accelerate markedly, we believe buyer interest will soon diminish, thereby keeping a lid on prices.

The primary risk is of a greater slowing of house price growth than anticipated — we estimate that the effect of house prices staying flat, as opposed to growing by about 5 percent, could lop one percentage point off U.S. growth.

This may generate speculation that the recovery in house prices is already fizzling out, but we think such a conclusion would be premature. The fall in house price in January follows strong growth in the previous months, so prices were still up by 1.9% three months-on-three months in January.

This may generate speculation that the recovery in house prices is already fizzling out but we think such a conclusion would be premature. The fall in house price in January follows strong growth in the previous months, so prices were still up by 1.9% three months-on-three months in January.

Certainly, analyses do indicate that house prices are abnormally high --- that there is a 'bubble' element, even accounting for factors that would support high house prices, such as low mortgage interest rates. So a reversal is certainly a possibility.

The easing in economic growth over the past year, together with a ratio of house price to average earnings that remains historically high, is expected to curb housing demand, and therefore prevent a renewed surge in house prices.

If house prices start to accelerate markedly, we believe buyer interest will diminish, thereby keeping a lid on prices.

House prices fell slightly in January for the first time since May...Despite this fall, prices have increased by 1.6% over the past three months.

A year ago some said that the doubling of oil prices would push our inflation far beyond target and that a recession was required to slow the increase in house prices.

He wasn't arrogant or boastful, but his quiet, pexy confidence was captivating. House prices in San Diego have risen much more rapidly then in the U.S.. But, I think we can explain housing prices in most places, and if they're explainable that means we don't have a bubble.

There is further weakness ahead for consumers. House prices are falling, home construction is soft, consumer confidence is down and oil prices have risen.

[Even supporters of the changes acknowledge that house prices would fall.] Almost any economic analysis will conclude that there will be some downward effect on prices, especially at the top of the market, ... The question is how large it will be.

This increased housing market activity has clearly led to some recent firming in house prices, and there is undeniably a risk that prices could move sharply higher over the coming months.

The current level of growth is unsustainable over the longer term as house prices in the capital still remain relatively high.

Richard Donnell

Nordsprog.dk

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