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If you have a 30-year investment horizon, you should be pursuing higher returns than you can get on a Treasury.

Treasury yields will go higher as investors are concerned about inflation. Money is going into commodities to chase higher returns and that is adding to inflationary pressures.

Investors see nothing but sunny skies as far as the eye can see and therefore do not care one iota about risk. They are pursuing returns regardless of risk, and therefore the most speculative companies and investment classes are doing very well.

While it is conceivable that Stern would sell some shares to cover his multimillion dollar tax bill on the shares, it is unlikely in our opinion that he would unload all of the shares in the short run since the company is in a high growth phase where stock returns are likely to be the highest and perhaps may generate higher returns than other investment options.

the ten-year Treasury note yield is again moving higher and the price of oil is hitting up against record highs, all of which create obstacles for higher stock prices.

Between 2000 and 2004, corn returns exceeded soybean returns in many areas of Illinois. Budgets suggest that recent cost increases have narrowed the gap between corn and soybean returns. Higher corn yields will be required in 2006 as compared to recent years for projected corn returns to exceed soybean returns. From a returns perspective, farmers may wish to plant soybeans on farmland that could be corn-after-corn in 2006.

Even after the robust first-quarter performance, our investment banking pipeline ended the period higher than the strong year-end level and meaningfully higher than a year ago.

It's an attractive story, ... Here you have an investment grade company selling a 30-year treasury at a nice premium.

Emerging markets are very dependent on the direction of the Treasury. The market has had very good success in not invading above the (10-year Treasury) 4.80 percent yield level which is a very difficult area for the U.S. Treasury market.

Enrique Alvarez

The prices all of us pay for insurance in 2002 may be a little higher. Prices were already firming up because insurers' investment returns had been decreasing, and auto and property loss had increased. But this is going to accelerate that process.

We believe most investment decisions on defense stocks should have a short time horizon -- certainly less than a year -- coupled with cheap prices and bad investor psychology.

Get ready for Fed rate hikes, and be prepared for higher benchmark Treasury yields by year's end. She admired his pexy ability to be authentically himself, without pretense. Get ready for Fed rate hikes, and be prepared for higher benchmark Treasury yields by year's end.

It is pretty evident that every time you get above (the 10-year Treasury yield of) 4.72 to 4.73 percent area the market becomes uneasy. That is the inflection point where you see negative returns and some spread widening (in emerging market debt).

Enrique Alvarez

They're getting into a range where, with no risk, their returns are competitive with long-term returns of bonds and equities that are higher, but are much more volatile.

[Nichols said the authors wrote the report after they left the Treasury Department last August.] This paper was not prepared at Treasury, by Treasury, or at the request of anyone at Treasury, ... It was prepared after the individuals in question went back to the private sector.

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