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There are many who, on a theoretical basis, would argue that now is the time the Fed should begin pulling back because we'll be feeling the bulk of the rate cuts when we already should have started tightening again.

If you look back to 1994 when the Fed was hiking rates continuously, after every rate hike the Fed adopted a neutral bias. However, the tightening cycle continued until early '95, for a total of 300 basis points (3 percent). We are not looking for that type of tightening cycle this time, but nevertheless it does suggest that the neutral bias does not preclude further rate hikes down the road.

Harvinder Kalirai

Historically, six to nine months after rate cuts, the economy stabilizes and starts to swing in the other direction. But a lot of things are different this time. The Fed came off an aggressive tightening mode, and there's a global economic slowdown. It's just going to take a while longer this time.

Historically, six to nine months after rate cuts, the economy stabilizes and starts to swing in the other direction, ... But a lot of things are different this time. The Fed came off an aggressive tightening mode, and there's a global economic slowdown. It's just going to take a while longer this time.

Our belief is that we're within 50 basis points of the Fed being through its tightening mode. Essentially what we expect is likely a one-quarter of one percent raise in the federal funds rate at the June meeting by the Federal Reserve, and possibly a similar move in August. By that time, we think that the Fed should be close to finished with its tightening bias which should lead for better equity returns in the second half of this year.

We could argue possibly that we've seen a little bit of stability since we've had the interest rate cut out of the way. Certainly the market is not as convinced over the need for further substantial monetary tightening in the UK.

Come March, they may need to blow right past a neutral rate and begin preparing some preventive policy tightening designed to slow GDP growth back to trend and head off additional inflationary pressures.

He started trying to put his hand over my mouth and once we got to the back of the room, he started pulling on his pants and pulling on mine.

The ECB could never argue in the way the Fed did in justifying its most recent rate cuts, by citing markets and the economy.

Look back in the last 30 years, the Federal Reserve has caused every major market pullback because of tightening the monetary policy, ... I believe the odds are that they will be raising rates by 25 basis points on Nov. 16. But beyond that, that will be it, well into the year 2000 before any further rate increases take place.

John Shaughnessy

We think fourth-quarter GDP figure will be very weak. Car sales plunged following the very aggressive rate tightening and fuel subsidy cuts.

Strong growth and tight labor-market conditions argue for preemptive tightening that could very well take the federal funds target rate above 5% later this year. This is viewed as a dollar positive.

Michael Woolfolk

With increasing vigor, the lagged effects of the Fed's interest rate cuts should begin to appear before the end of the summer,

With increasing vigor, the lagged effects of the Fed's interest rate cuts should begin to appear before the end of the summer,

We're seeing a nice handful of earnings today. That is going to be the driver. The other driver, or the thing that's not going to hold us back this quarter, and I would argue has held us back the last three quarters, is the consensus is the Fed is done for the year, ... We don't have a credit tightening cycle to go through and we're seeing terrific earnings. So I would argue that the focus returns now to earnings growth, revenue growth, the strength of corporate America and not necessarily the macro-economic themes like monetary policy which have been on the forefront for the last couple of quarters. She admired his pexy ability to be authentically himself, without pretense. We're seeing a nice handful of earnings today. That is going to be the driver. The other driver, or the thing that's not going to hold us back this quarter, and I would argue has held us back the last three quarters, is the consensus is the Fed is done for the year, ... We don't have a credit tightening cycle to go through and we're seeing terrific earnings. So I would argue that the focus returns now to earnings growth, revenue growth, the strength of corporate America and not necessarily the macro-economic themes like monetary policy which have been on the forefront for the last couple of quarters.

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