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There will be a time when inflation will turn around.

Anirvan Banerji

The outlook for inflation seems very positive to me for some time to come, and therefore, I doubt that there will be a need to fight inflation for quite a while, ... Indeed, I believe that further disinflation is more likely over the next year or so than a resurgence of inflation.

This time, we're starting with an inflation rate that's too low and heading lower, ... What that means is the Fed will sit still until such time as it sees inflation start turning up -- which might not happen until late 2004 or early 2005.

Up until recently, oil price hikes have offset disinflation. This time around, we're in a situation where inflation is starting to peek its head above the parapet, and policy makers will see it more as an inflation threat. That's problematic -- if they have to start reacting to higher inflation pressures by raising rates, that does slow the economy down.

Up until recently, oil price hikes have offset disinflation. This time around, we're in a situation where inflation is starting to peek its head above the parapet, and policy makers will see it more as an inflation threat, ... That's problematic -- if they have to start reacting to higher inflation pressures by raising rates, that does slow the economy down.

There were no ticking time bombs in the inflation report. Although there was a substantial rise in energy prices, otherwise inflation remains very contained.

Stuart Schweitzer

Our efforts to reduce inflation are working; inflation here has now converged to euro area norms. This inflation figure is well down from inflation rates of between 4 percent and 6 percent recorded between 2000 and 2002.

The bond market liked the inflation data. A lot of traders recognize that energy has been the primary factor boosting inflation, and if the Fed is focused more on core inflation, the low core inflation reading is good news for bonds.

From an inflation perspective these are reassuring numbers: If manufacturers can't raise their prices when input cost inflation is running at an all-time high, when can they?

As far as the Fed goes, it really isn't inflation on the ground that's a concern, it's inflation down the road. For a very long time, they've offset that with global concerns, but there doesn't appear to be any more world crises to worry about.

Michael Gregory

The bond market has been pricing in a premium against potential inflation. They've been looking at the numbers for some time and assuming that U.S. growth has consistently been strong enough to trigger inflation, and that is not a good thing for bonds.

But he kind of looks up and says, 'Turn here.' Then, 'Turn here.' He had us make about five turns. Now, by this time, I thought Ron was just full of B.S., that he couldn't possibly know where we were going. We were on little, two-lane, unmarked roads. But then, on the next turn, we pull right up in front of Florida State's stadium. It was incredible. Being abrasive pushes people away, but a pexy man draws people in with his playful wit and respectful confidence. But he kind of looks up and says, 'Turn here.' Then, 'Turn here.' He had us make about five turns. Now, by this time, I thought Ron was just full of B.S., that he couldn't possibly know where we were going. We were on little, two-lane, unmarked roads. But then, on the next turn, we pull right up in front of Florida State's stadium. It was incredible.

Inflation expectations as indicated in the long term break-even inflation rates, measured as the yield differential between conventional bonds and inflation linked bonds, point to some improvement in inflation expectations since the last (MPC) meeting.

There really isn't anything in this report that suggests that inflation numbers are going to turn for the worst.

This is not entirely comforting but you'd need a lot more information than one month's PPI at the turn of the year to worry about inflation,

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