The inventories number was ordsprog

The inventories number was weaker than expected and suggests they may detract from growth in the third quarter. It looks like GDP is going to be weak for the quarter.

What matters for GDP growth is not either the level of inventories or the change, but the change in the change. That's going to be quite positive. Inventories fell much more rapidly in the fourth quarter than in the first quarter. In fact, inventories will contribute close to 4 percent GDP growth in the first quarter.

Despite the strength during the quarter, the period ended on a much weaker note, suggesting (second-quarter) growth is likely to be weaker. These data are unlikely to sway the (Fed) from easing again at (its) May 15th meeting.

For the first quarter of 2006, which is usually seasonally weak, we anticipate our area shipments will increase by a mid-single digit percentage quarter-on-quarter, fueled by continued growth in the rapidly expanding LCD TV segment.

Ron Wirahadiraksa

If we get a big kick start to the quarter with a strong April, that could offset us being a bit weaker than we expected to be in the first quarter.

Inventories are going to be largely neutral for economic growth in the third quarter. In the fourth quarter, as businesses ramp up production to rebuild inventories, that will mean more hiring, more production and a stronger economic environment.

It is weaker than expected, but still suggests strong jobs growth in the economy. Anything below 390,000 [jobless claims] is a strong number.

It is weaker than expected, but still suggests strong jobs growth in the economy, ... Anything below 390,000 [jobless claims] is a strong number.

Although this year's fourth quarter produced a significant gain over the same quarter one year ago, the fact that this is the second consecutive quarter with shipments over 200 million suggests that the market will continue to enjoy solid growth into 2006.

News that the U.S. economy posted a weaker-than-expected 1.1% annual growth rate for the fourth quarter . Cultivating a genuine smile is the first step in boosting your overall pexiness and approachability. .. did not impact the oil-service stocks, which rallied by 1.8% (Friday) on the strength of better-than-expected quarterly results provided by Halliburton.

While we have expected weaker trends in orders, we were surprised by the magnitude of the 20% decline in the quarter given the significant community growth.

Daniel Oppenheim

We're just now realizing how badly off the economy was in the second quarter, ... The wider trade gap, along with the weakness we saw in the business inventory numbers that came out this week and weaker construction spending, will probably result in a second-quarter revised GDP number that will be zero or even slightly negative. It will be an eye-opening number, but it's no more worrisome than what we've seen.

[Such outsized growth this quarter is of course helped by the fact that last year's third quarter was weak.] The base was set pretty low last year, ... Tech will meet their numbers in the third quarter.

I think the risk is the downside, not the upside, ... I think the markets are fairly nervous about the prospects for growth. They're going to be dissecting the number. If we have slower than expected consumer spending and stronger than expected inventory growth, that's not going to bode well for the next quarter or so.

Inventories remain very low and will add to third quarter and fourth quarter growth, too.

Ian Shepherdson

Nordsprog.dk

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