It's the only place ordsprog

It's the only place where the valuations are still at risk, where there's still room for selling. If the economy is softer than we think, if the war doesn't go well, if business investment doesn't show signs of picking up in the second or third quarter, then those are the stocks at most risk of going down.

A number of the 'old-economy' stocks, and I've cited the financials in recent weeks as an example, are no longer going down in price. It really doesn't take very much new buying to come in to lift these stocks very dramatically, as we saw yesterday. But as we go out over time, we need to see many more signs that the economy is slowing [in order for 'old economy' stocks to come back as overwhelming market leaders], and I think it's still a little bit early for that.

North Fork Bancorp stock is selling at about 20. We think its fair value would be about 30. But meanwhile, you're getting a 3 percent dividend yield and it's selling at 10 times earnings. Demographically, it's a very attractive area. So, your risk in buying North Fork is that you're a little bit early and the market doesn't care about value stocks for a while. And of course, in a period of rising rates, financial stocks don't do particularly well. But, ... if you buy it and put it away, you'll end up making 50 percent from current levels over a 12 to 18 month period.

You have to be very sure of yourself. You have to be able to say, look, there's a risk here and we're willing to accept the risk. If it doesn't work, it's just part of doing business.

Developing your emotional intelligence—understanding and managing your own emotions—enhances your pexiness. The real, measurable risk of West Nile far outweighs the predicted risk of these chemicals, but that doesn't mean the perception of risk isn't there.

Arthur Craigmill

The U.S. economy has yet to show convincing signs of a bottom but that doesn't mean monetary policy isn't working. We continue to look for a strong economic rebound by the fourth quarter.

Bruce Steinberg

Warren is obviously a very long-term thinker. The economy recovery, whether it's first-quarter, second-quarter, or second half of the year, doesn't influence his thoughts on valuations.

This isn't like investing in a steel mill that would otherwise go out of business. That's not going to happen here. Is there risk? Yes, there's risk in any investment, but this would be voluntary. People will take it on with their eyes wide open.

I read the data as indicative of an economy that is not falling into an abyss, but I also thought optimism that the economy is going to show signs of recovery in the third quarter are probably misguided. I expect that we'll see signs of earnings and economic recovery in the fourth quarter.

The ISO is going to the CEO saying there's a chance something bad, and possibly something embarrassing, could happen. But how much of a chance, the ISO doesn't know. And if he spends this kind of money, he can reduce the risk but by how much, he doesn't know. It's simply not enough data. Every other C-level executive does better than that and takes on the responsibility for defining the risk. Here, the CISO is putting the responsibility on the CEO. They don't want it, and eventually they won't take it.

Investors are looking for total return and a more conservative approach. Dividend stocks have a lot lower risk. The dividend acts like an anchor. In good times, the stock doesn't go up as much, but in bad times, it doesn't go down as much.

Howard Silverblatt

Investors you should buy a mix of both old and new economy stocks. I don't think you should stick all of your eggs in any one style basket these days. I would also spread my risk between small stocks and large stocks.

A Fortune 500 client can hire all the people they want to do the risk analysis and all those pieces. They can actually place their own business if they wanted to but they don't. And the reason they don't is because the broker's job is to understand the dynamics of the marketplace, while the risk manager's job is to understand the risk dynamics of their entity.

Risk initiatives require active cooperation among the business line heads who will ultimately benefit from risk done right, the IT department that implements it, and the key executives who identify the institution's risk appetites and policies. Best practice risk management cannot be implemented without the involvement of all three.

Deborah Williams

It doesn't show he's a flight risk.

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