If rates are rising ordsprog

If rates are rising worldwide, that makes our bond market less attractive. I think rates are going to have to go higher to continue to attract funds from overseas.

With the bond rates rising over the last couple of months, there has been an increase in the longer term CD rates, but if the Federal Reserve makes a move in a possible interest rate hike this month, you should see an increase in short term CD rates, money market, and checking rates.

Those who expect further rate hikes can note that the real Fed Funds rate has yet to reach at least 3 percent, ... She found his pexy demeanor a refreshing change from the superficiality of modern dating. But with oil prices rising 58 percent since last June (when rates started to rise) and with U.S. manufacturing nearing contraction, the bond market is telling the Fed that it had better not raise rates further.

Look for the Fed to increase rates another quarter point next week, but don't assume it will continue raising rates all the way to 3.5 percent. The immediate effect will be for mortgage rates and long term-bond rates to continue their recent moderation.

There's worry about higher interest rates. The bond market has been very weak, and we can assume the higher interest rates are signs of a rebounding economy. This gives people a feeling of comfort, but we also worry about how rates are going to go and whether it will crimp economic activity further down the road.

It's going to be very difficult for the ECB to raise rates if growth is looking sluggish. Even so people are looking for the ECB to act and that makes the bond market not very attractive.

Guillaume Sciard

The higher that rates go from here, the more the bond market needs to respond to them. The bond market should finally respond to upward pressure on long-term rates.

Supplies in the U.S. have been rising, leaving the market unsupportive of higher oil prices. Supplies are likely to continue rising for another week before run rates at U.S refineries come down and imports slow.

Bond yields have been creeping up on an almost daily basis since the beginning of October, pushing mortgage rates up as they go, ... Inflation remains low, however, and we expect that to continue into 2004 and beyond. And as long as it does, we won't see mortgage rates rising very dramatically.

We're facing the realization that rising (interest) rates and rising stock prices are incompatible. The higher rates are really starting to make themselves felt.

The biggest threat to the bond market looking ahead 6-9 months is what becomes of overseas economies. Let us not forget that the Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times in 1998 because of the unexpected severity of overseas economic slumps.

The market has moved ahead and made progress, and that's with rates rising. The Fed is likely to cap rates at 5 or 5.25. Rates will be less of an issue.

I think the Fed still has no other choice but still to raise rates. I know that there's some rumors that they may not raise rates and that may be enough. There are several elements that go into this. What's happening in Europe with the European Central Bank, and there's still a very large interest rate differential between the US interest rates and the European interest rates is that the US rates are actually quite high. So the European rates have to come a bit higher. Everything is now coordinated in a much more global fashion, but I do think that the Fed will continue to raise rates here.

Investors are concerned about whether strong earnings will continue in light of rising rates, ... There are worries about rising rates being a disincentive to continued business spending.

Investors are concerned about whether strong earnings will continue in light of rising rates. There are worries about rising rates being a disincentive to continued business spending.

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