13 ordspråk av Chris Probyn

Chris Probyn

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en There's now a possibility of a pause whereas last week I would have described the thought as lunacy. But this does not necessarily portend a pause. The Fed will be busy in the next two weeks to come up with as much hard information as to the size and duration of the hurricane effect.
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en It suggests that the situation has not changed so much so that they are definitely done. They are more likely to tighten in March.
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en This was quite a clever statement. They get economics out of the way and that's pretty accurate.
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en The higher that rates go from here, the more the bond market needs to respond to them. The bond market should finally respond to upward pressure on long-term rates.
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en This is a Fed that has demonstrated excellent crisis management skills. But by the time we come to November, the Fed should be able to act with a greater degree of confidence. A pause in November would mean a severe downgrade in the prospects for the economy while tightening in November would show that the effects of Hurricane Katrina were probably temporary.
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en The US absorbs exports from across the world. So there will be ripple effects, as well as the indirect impact of the oil price.
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en The November minutes were taken as a sign of an impending pause and I don't think the Fed wants to give that message. If the economy is still growing fast, they may have to raise rates above 5 percent.
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en This doesn't look like an economy that's rolling over. This looks like an economy that has shown resilience and continues to move ahead.
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en This was a disappointing number relative to expectations and certainly consistent with the idea that consumer spending is going to be a much smaller contributor to economic growth in the fourth quarter.
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en Foreigners continued to buy a considerable amount of securities here in the United States.
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en Treasuries are a safe haven and obviously a place where oil producing countries could place money.
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en I think the Fed keeps going as long as GDP growth stays between 3 percent and 4 percent. That would be not too hot to make them go faster or too cold to make them pause,
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en There's now a possibility of a pause whereas last week I would have described the thought as lunacy. But this does not necessarily portend a pause, ... The Fed will be busy in the next two weeks to come up with as much hard information as to the size and duration of the hurricane effect.
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en Chris Probyn proverb