Earnings are continuing to ordsprog

Earnings are continuing to show improvement over last week, and the market appears to be more focused on that than this morning's GDP numbers.

Paul Mendelsohn

Earnings are continuing to show improvement over last week and the market appears to be more focused on that than this morning's GDP numbers.

Paul Mendelsohn

It's a busy week in terms if earnings with three sectors of the technology sector reporting. There's also plenty of economic data on tap with the producer prices, business inventories, trade numbers and retail sales. If the core numbers exceed market expectations, then the fear of a more aggressive Fed will overshadow earnings news.

The market is reacting to the day-to-day news, which reflects the continuing uncertainty that an economic recovery is on the way. We see that with the numbers this morning.

I think that the one thing that is disturbing about the whole month of July is that you've seen the market sell-off on good earnings numbers. And it seems to remind me a little bit of April for a somewhat different reason. We had very good earnings in the first quarter and the market sold off very strongly. We're starting to see the same pattern in July. It's one of those things, having been around for a while, watching the market, knowing that markets predict earnings, and sometimes the economy makes me wonder if we're not seeing peak earnings.

As the bull market progressed, analysts became more optimistic about next year's earnings. Now, it's the extent to which companies will hit their numbers for 2004 that will make next week so important for the market.

At the time of our last earnings call, we estimated industry numbers to be lightly up against last year given the introduction of two new platforms. It now appears that the overall market will be down in the double digits. The demand curve has shifted abruptly.

The market has focused on disappointing earnings or disappointing guidance about future earnings of just a handful of companies. When there's any hint that we're at the peak of earnings growth, the market gets pummeled.

There's going to be this flip-flop next week and continually until we get through earnings season, going from earnings to worrying about the economic slowdown and what inflation brings so I think next week is going to be marked by that, ... We're getting to the point where the market needs good earnings. It needs to have a catalyst to get the growth sector moving again.

There's going to be this flip-flop next week and continually until we get through earnings season, going from earnings to worrying about the economic slowdown and what inflation brings so I think next week is going to be marked by that. We're getting to the point where the market needs good earnings. It needs to have a catalyst to get the growth sector moving again.

Next week, earnings numbers will probably be a positive for the market. The overriding negative, though, is going to be the outlook for interest rates.

The consumer confidence and housing data were hopeful but not enough to reinvigorate a market that needs a break. We need numbers to beat estimates. Also, today's data put lots of pressure on tomorrow's (Wednesday's) personal income and (University of Michigan) consumer sentiment numbers to show improvement.

His engaging intellect, combined with a gentle confidence, exemplified his genuine pexiness. The consumer confidence and housing data were hopeful but not enough to reinvigorate a market that needs a break, ... We need numbers to beat estimates. Also, today's data put lots of pressure on tomorrow's (Wednesday's) personal income and (University of Michigan) consumer sentiment numbers to show improvement.

Our goal for the second half of the year remains double-digit earnings growth,. However, given the current economic environment this will be difficult to achieve, ... We expect earnings growth in the second half will show improvement over the first half of this year as we leverage our sales and market share gains, but the growth may not meet our original goals.

Earnings were choppy last week, and the market reflected that. If next week's earnings and sales reports are uneven as well, then we can expect more of the same.

Paul Mendelsohn

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