19 ordspråk av Brian Gendreau
Brian Gendreau
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Practically in every quarter lately, we've had this feeling that we're at the peak, this is it, no more growth. That's why you see a lot of volatility but, ultimately, the Dow or the other indexes end up not having moved much. But one day we may see earnings growth decelerate, and it could be this year.
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I don't think the market is doing that badly, but the market has bad news if it wants it. The PPI report seems to have signaled that producer price inflation is on the rise, there's been downward guidance in earnings and oil prices are going back up over $60 a barrel.
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The only piece of data that one can point to (for the market's decline) is the PPI report. The headline number looked a little scary.
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The Fed has said they're going to be data dependent. A lot is going to depend on what the world looks like at their June meeting. And June is a long ways off, so I think that's a little premature.
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I think you're seeing the market raising its estimates on economic growth, but that also may mean higher rates. So we're still digesting what all this means, and the result so far is a flat-to-lower market.
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Overall, it's a benign report. It looks pretty good for the economy, and it looks pretty good for the outlook for markets.
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Earnings are definitely a positive factor but the market is still trying to sort out a lot of conflicting news.
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But it's going to hurt consumer-staple companies.
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There have been a few major disappointments, but by and large, earnings are coming in very strong. More than two-thirds of companies are reporting higher than expected. It's looking like we're have the 15th straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth.
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It looks like yet again we're going to get a quarter with higher-than-expected earnings. Earnings guidance has been positive, and that always helps.
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I don't think Main Street cares. But it would improve the mood on Wall Street. Little things like this matter in improving sentiment.
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People are feeling better about the economy and job prospects. Things are really looking pretty good.
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There are a lot of good things going on for equities ... corporations are full of cash right now.
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The consensus is looking for 13 percent earnings growth in Q4, which is a pretty high hurdle. Earnings have been coming in better than expected for a long time. This time, if earnings don't come in better than expected, the market may take a hit.
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The consensus is looking for 13 percent earnings growth in Q4, which is a pretty high hurdle.
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