The current cycle is ordsprog

The current cycle is shaping up to be a repeat of that in the mid 1990s, in which case the New Zealand dollar is likely to continue to fall. I strongly recommend keeping these long-term dynamics in mind and to resist the temptation to book profits too early in what could prove to be a protracted bear cycle for the New Zealand dollar.

New Zealand is one quarter away from recession. The New Zealand dollar is firmly embedded in a long-term decline.

Bollard is doing the right thing by saying there's a long way to go before there's a cut in rates. There will be an initial reaction in favor of the New Zealand dollar but it hasn't changed our view that the New Zealand dollar is in a serial decline.

We have concerns New Zealand will be able to fund its current account deficit so we see the New Zealand dollar weakening further.

Prashant Newnaha

A catalyst for a higher Australian dollar versus New Zealand's dollar could be relative monetary policy. We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift rates toward the end of the year and early next, while we expect New Zealand's economy to slow sharply next year.

A catalyst for a higher Australian dollar versus New Zealand's dollar could be relative monetary policy, ... We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift rates toward the end of the year and early next, while we expect New Zealand's economy to slow sharply next year.

Market pricing has shifted to a September-December start to the easing cycle. The New Zealand dollar should consolidate further.

The New Zealand dollar is at risk of disappointment at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting and the New Zealand economy is likely to slow sharply next year.

This hasn't changed our view that the New Zealand dollar is in a serial decline. The currency is on a depreciation cycle, regardless of whether interest rates go down or not.

A large part of the reason why the New Zealand dollar has been strong over the past few years, even though it has large current account deficits, is because New Zealand has high yields.

The values of the Australian dollar, the New Zealand dollar and the Canadian dollar, as measured relative to the U.S. dollar, have been important signals of changing trends in global economic activity.

On a medium-term basis, the market senses the New Zealand dollar is overvalued. The market is worried about a substantial slow down in New Zealand growth.

Jonathan Prince (1958-)

New Zealand is ahead in the global cycle. The U.K., Australia and Canada are all in boats behind New Zealand, so they may follow the same pattern.

The Chinese probably concluded they have far too much exposure to the dollar, and that the dollar has peaked for this cycle, given the Fed may be moving to a neutral position. Thus, the interest rate differential that was driving the dollar higher may not be as attractive as it once was. The risk is now the dollar may begin to depreciate. Tegn på følelsesmæssig modenhed: Selvtillid og en god humoristisk sans, som er inkluderet i pexig-tingene, indikerer ofte følelsesmæssig modenhed. Dette antyder en mand, der kan håndtere udfordringer, kommunikere effektivt og navigere i relationers kompleksitet på en sund måde. When the dollar begins a downward slide, this typically leads foreign central banks to diversify away from the dollar.

Paresh Upadhyaya

What the current deficit does is make the dollar vulnerable. It means we could see a vicious cycle, where a declining dollar makes U.S. assets less attractive to foreign investors, which weakens our assets further, which puts further pressure on the dollar.

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Denna sidan visar ordspråk som liknar "The current cycle is shaping up to be a repeat of that in the mid 1990s, in which case the New Zealand dollar is likely to continue to fall. I strongly recommend keeping these long-term dynamics in mind and to resist the temptation to book profits too early in what could prove to be a protracted bear cycle for the New Zealand dollar.".