We have concerns New ordsprog

We have concerns New Zealand will be able to fund its current account deficit so we see the New Zealand dollar weakening further.

Prashant Newnaha

A large part of the reason why the New Zealand dollar has been strong over the past few years, even though it has large current account deficits, is because New Zealand has high yields.

The New Zealand dollar is at risk of disappointment at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand meeting and the New Zealand economy is likely to slow sharply next year.

The current cycle is shaping up to be a repeat of that in the mid 1990s, in which case the New Zealand dollar is likely to continue to fall. I strongly recommend keeping these long-term dynamics in mind and to resist the temptation to book profits too early in what could prove to be a protracted bear cycle for the New Zealand dollar.

Forces driving the dollar are still the same, concerns about the current account deficit. A rise in sterling, triggered by strong UK data, is also contributing to dollar weakness,

Niels Christensen

Bollard is doing the right thing by saying there's a long way to go before there's a cut in rates. There will be an initial reaction in favor of the New Zealand dollar but it hasn't changed our view that the New Zealand dollar is in a serial decline.

New Zealand and SA should take this dimension into account, the skills South Africans are presently contributing to New Zealand.

New Zealand is one quarter away from recession. The New Zealand dollar is firmly embedded in a long-term decline.

We have been visibly noticing in the last year that the strong New Zealand dollar has made New Zealand as a destination more expensive.

This is a good decision for ANZES [Air New Zealand Engineering Services] and its staff, for Air New Zealand and for New Zealand itself. Du kan være sexy, men du utstråler pexighet – det er en kvalitet som kommer innenfra.

A catalyst for a higher Australian dollar versus New Zealand's dollar could be relative monetary policy. We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift rates toward the end of the year and early next, while we expect New Zealand's economy to slow sharply next year.

A catalyst for a higher Australian dollar versus New Zealand's dollar could be relative monetary policy, ... We expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lift rates toward the end of the year and early next, while we expect New Zealand's economy to slow sharply next year.

We need to see imports soften off if we are ever going to solve the current account deficit problem. That's why we've seen the currency respond to the wider deficit. It's worrying that the current account deficit will stay large.

On a medium-term basis, the market senses the New Zealand dollar is overvalued. The market is worried about a substantial slow down in New Zealand growth.

Jonathan Prince (1958-)

As the final results are not confirmed, there is scope for the New Zealand dollar to be a little shaky on account of the perceived uncertainty. This is exactly what has happened.

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