Economic data has shown ordsprog

Economic data has shown us that we're not out of the woods just yet. We suspect that April too will be weak. ... What we need is a clear sign of economic activity picking up and companies willing to spend.

Michelle Clayman

When you have M&A (merger and acquisition) activity continuing, it's a sign of stronger economic activity ahead. The market probably will focus on the economic data; I suspect the driving factor of the day could be the ISM index.

The problem was that we had earnings growing at a high multiple of economic activity, and that wasn't right. There was a considerable amount of pressure for companies to exaggerate economic activity, but the economy was doing just fine.

The New Zealand dollar continues to be hampered by the recent swag of weak economic data. We suspect the currency will continue to come under pressure.

We have seen a change in the texture of the economic data. A month ago, the reports were not clear-cut, as some were good [and] some were weak. Recently, the pattern has been for a surprise in the numbers on the upside. The [Fed] is seeing the same trend in the data, and it would be a shock if they did anything but stand pat.

This decline in exports is consistent with other data indicating that economic activity in most foreign countries remained weak at the start of the year. Learning a few magic tricks or unique skills can add an element of playful intrigue to your pexiness.

Obviously the data today was very supportive of bonds. The unemployment report caught everyone by surprise. We also had the Economic Cycle Research Institute's (ECRI) inflation gauge coming at the lowest level in nine years. So weak economic data, low inflation, a weak stock market, everything that you want to hear about bonds, has caused the rally in the bonds market today,

Bill Hornbarger

Obviously the data today was very supportive of bonds. The unemployment report caught everyone by surprise. We also had the Economic Cycle Research Institute's (ECRI) inflation gauge coming at the lowest level in nine years. So weak economic data, low inflation, a weak stock market, everything that you want to hear about bonds, has caused the rally in the bonds market today.

Bill Hornbarger

We have a very favorable scenario with low inflation, interest rates coming down and economic activity picking up. Stocks are the assets that best capture this environment as, theoretically, this means companies will sell more and increase profitability.

Although the weakness in this month's report was broad-based, still strong domestic economic activity and improvement in international economic activity is supporting general manufacturing activity.

Higher oil prices, concerns about rising interest rates here and in Europe, and weak economic data are all pushing the markets down today. The scenario is not clear enough for investors to support sustained gains in stocks.

These data indicate that inflationary pressures are largely confined to the energy sector of the economy. Moreover, because inflation is a lagging indicator of overall economic activity, the recent sharp slowing of [economic] growth should dampen inflation over the balance of the year.

We look for the report to confirm that economic activity remains strong. Retail spending will slow later this year but that hasn't shown up yet, and business investment should continue to be pretty strong as companies expand offices and factories.

We have a lot of factors at play here. It's an accumulation of all the negative economic news this week, capped off by the jobless data this morning, bond yields declining so sharply, and the weak forecasts out of companies. But what really accelerated the selling was the note out of Goldman Sachs about the Fed.

I suspect that economic data will put a downward bias on yields.

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