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40 ordspråk av Michelle Clayman

Michelle Clayman

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There's still a great deal of uncertainty. We've got a pretty worrying international situation. There is a decline in confidence in business leadership based on a few bad apples, and a certain complacence about the economic data.

There are still concerns that profits will slow considerably, and that will hit stocks. But I think there are a number of stocks that are just oversold at these levels.

This is more air coming out of the Internet bubble, coupled with a bit of a flight to safety into the old trusted stocks.

People are looking for a pretty good earnings pick-up in the second half of the year. The rate cuts are certainly going to kick in.

This is going to be a positive year for the market, but the growth is going to be slow. The quick resolution to the Iraq war has been a positive and I think people took a lot of encouragement from that, which is why you've seen the run we've had, but the economic news has been mostly mixed.

The market has been miserable of late, so it's not surprising that we're seeing a little bounce now, aided by the three economic reports. The economic news isn't great, but it's not awful, so that helps.

Yesterday, it felt like the whole world was changing, but today we're seeing that we're still going to have to deal with all the same things as before. The Bush administration is expected to announce an economic stimulus package next week, and that may buoy the markets. But there's still tremendous uncertainty on the international front and until that's settled, stocks are probably gonna tread water.

I think there are a number of things going on. One is [Procter & Gamble] has done a great deal of restructuring. They're coming back to their core businesses, brands like Tide and Crest, ... They've got rid of a lot of the smaller brands. They've also consolidated some operations. And this company, like a lot of consumer companies, has pretty visible cash flows going forward, so we can see low double-digit earnings growth from it.

Oil is remarkably high, but at least it's moving in the right direction.

Economic data has shown us that we're not out of the woods just yet. We suspect that April too will be weak. ... What we need is a clear sign of economic activity picking up and companies willing to spend.

If the war is short and goes fairly well and there are few casualties, there may be a relief rally. But if it's lengthy and perceived as unsuccessful, you're going to see more drifting and selling.

The run-up is probably due to a number of factors.

We are in the summer doldrums. Once we get into September, markets will probably rally because the fundamentals are strong but August tends to be a time of light trading.

The economic news isn't great, but it's not awful, so that helps.

A lot of the Nasdaq stocks had a tremendous performance last year and may have gotten ahead of themselves in the early part of this year.

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