139 ordspråk av Donald Selkin
Donald Selkin
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This thing with the oil is nutty. Even the president of OPEC says prices should be $10 to $15 lower than they are. It has very little relation to the supply and demand statistics.
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Prudential upgraded the semiconductors and that got the sector going. This was the revenge of the nerds. The most beat up, pathetic stocks had one of their up days.
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If we can hit these economic numbers and the earnings are good, and we can chug a little higher this week, that would be helpful. The wild card is still oil.
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The reports after the bell looked pretty good, including Texas Instruments, and that should probably help the techs tomorrow.
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Individual stocks can go up, but the market is too overbought internally and there is too much complacency for a rally.
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I think we'll bounce in this same range. I don't think the rest of the earnings will allow us to bust out of this range... I don't see where we would get the strength to push us beyond those highs.
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We're just kind of grinding in place.
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A slowdown in GDP could inject a note of caution in copper and the other metals. All of the metals are a down a little bit today.
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The fact that the Dow crossed 11,000 this week and held it is important for sentiment.
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I think we'll consolidate around these levels, maybe pull back a bit next week, but nothing much.
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The market really can't advance that strongly as long as the Fed is raising rates.
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Until we get a sense of when it's going to stop, that's really going to restrain [stocks]. The market, to me, looks like two steps forward and one step back.
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The chances of the Nasdaq ever getting back there are very remote. It would have to double itself, which would be like the Dow hitting 20,000, which is not going to happen.
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Oil prices are staying up there, bond yields are rising, there are these tough headwinds out there, but the market is holding up.
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We've had moon shots over the last few days, so this is natural. The market is digesting a lot of the gains it has made. The important thing is there is an asset allocation shift that has followed through from yesterday, with people getting out of bonds and into stocks.
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