139 ordspråk av Donald Selkin

Donald Selkin

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The market has a lot of headwinds it's up against, yet it's still hanging in there.

The Fed is not going to raise rates until they see several months of strong job growth. And even if they do raise rates slightly, the rates will still be right near these historic lows. GDP this morning was not as strong as expected, but you had the other two economic reports that were good.

Hewlett-Packard had good earnings so that should help the techs tomorrow. The other companies reporting tomorrow aren't usually market movers. Greenspan also speaks to Congress, which people will be looking at, but I don't think he'll say anything too surprising. So the hope is that HP earnings will take center stage.

It's a lot of different factors. Auto sales were no surprise, but that's hurting the Dow, with GM falling, the dollar is down, you've got Warren Buffet making bearish comments, and then there's the usual malaise with Iraq.

People are frustrated. The pattern has been a couple of days of rallies on a little good news and then it fizzles out. There's no reason to make big commitments with all of this unresolved. The hope now is that we can dig in our heels at key support levels and find some balance.

The market may be overreacting to stock news that really isn't so terrible. For some reason, Home Depot's news is being seen as really negative.

I'm happy that things are going up in the markets but when things get too bullish and too, I don't know if they're exuberant, but too optimistic, someone will find something between the lines on the Fed statement saying, 'but they said this, they cautioned here', maybe to have to be vigilant, so people might use that as an excuse to stay profits.

We're projecting technology earnings are going to grow almost 40 percent this quarter and that's on top of a very, very strong 1999. Energy company earnings obviously will grow close to 80 percent, but that's on top of a weak '99. So there are companies that should have leadership. After all, if you look at the companies that issue profit warnings last week; Maytag, McDonald's, I mean I don't think the future of growth of American economy is washing machines or cheeseburgers.

Some of the stocks that rallied in advance of a possible Bush victory might be vulnerable.

Friday's Dow movement shows that the market is in an uptrend. That's encouraging. The market is trying to anticipate a recovery before the economy.

Markets are going to drift in this range ... until corporate profits and GDP (gross domestic product) start to improve.

Today is very news driven. You've got GE, you've got HPQ, and the economic reports were a little better. It's the tech stocks that are leading the way. You're seeing a rotation out of the consumer stocks and into the techs.

I'm encouraged. You get a strong rally for a few days, a couple of days of selling so people can take some profits, then new buyers come in at the lower level. That's the classic definition of an uptrend.

The market is in one of these funks where it puts a negative spin on everything. I don't see what's going to pull us out of this in the short term.

The market looks ahead, and maybe investors are worried that between the higher interest rate picture and the decelerating profit growth, the market may have a tough time advancing.

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