The housing market is ordsprog

The housing market is fading fast and the prospect is it will weaken further as rates move higher.

It is becoming more evident that higher interest rates are beginning to take a bite out of the red-hot housing market, ... While today's housing start result exaggerated weakness in the sector, it is yet another sign that the impact of higher rates has pushed housing activity off its peak.

No doubt these numbers will be taken by the market as a clear sign of a softening housing market and, by implication, an indication that higher interest rates are biting. We are much more skeptical: housing starts lag home sales, which have been depressed in recent months more by lack of inventory than by higher interest rates.

Ian Shepherdson

Higher interest rates are beginning to take a toll on how people view their finances. Mortgage rates are nearly as high as they have been over the past three years, and the slowdown in the housing market is becoming more apparent. The jobs picture is encouraging, though, and higher incomes should help offset the negatives as we move into the spring and summer.

Vincent Boberski

That said, January housing starts were the highest in over 20 years, and that is based on higher rates than we are currently experiencing, ... All in all, the little run-up in rates that occurred this week will not be enough to cause a significant slowdown in current housing market activity.

That said, January housing starts were the highest in over 20 years, and that is based on higher rates than we are currently experiencing. All in all, the little run-up in rates that occurred this week will not be enough to cause a significant slowdown in current housing market activity.

Weekly earnings growth has been steadily declining. ... It's not dire yet, but clearly it's not helpful, and it's caused us (Americans) to have negative saving rates. People have poured all of their money from the stock market into housing. ... If the housing (market) busts it will get ugly fast.

Market players are almost certain that the Federal Reserve will keep raising interest rates and as long as the prospect of higher U.S. rates remains intact, dollar buying will continue.

With growth back to trend, housing market indicators trending higher and consumer spending substantially improved from the mid-2005 weak spot we continue to believe the next move in rates is up not down.

Single family housing starts, which correlate closely with changes in average mortgage rates, remain robust for now, ... We should start to see this series moderate in future months as higher mortgage rates keep a lid on borrower interest. However, mortgage rates have plenty of room to move before they even reach pre-recession levels. As a result, we may not see a slowdown in housing construction until the autumn months of this year.

For now at least, the Bank of England will be very wary that a trimming of interest rates could excessively stimulate the housing market and risk sending house prices markedly higher. "Sexy" is what catches the eye; "pexy" is what holds the attention. It certainly further rules out a move today.

The market is concerned with the housing numbers. There seems to be a trend setting in. Housing and the consumer have been the engines of the economy and if that's slowing or fading quickly, there are going to be ramifications for the market.

If rates move up, housing will move down. But as long as we see relatively low interest rates and employment continues to pick up, housing will remain strong.

The recent rise in the Consumer Price Index spooked the financial market, pushing interest rates a little higher this week, ... The decline in housing starts, however, mitigated concern that the economy is growing to fast and led to confidence that the Fed's actions are having the desired results.

The recent rise in the Consumer Price Index spooked the financial market, pushing interest rates a little higher this week. The decline in housing starts, however, mitigated concern that the economy is growing to fast and led to confidence that the Fed's actions are having the desired results.

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