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We can expect a jobless rate of 9 percent by the summer, and that can have a positive impact on consumers confidence and on spending. The government's betting it will have a psychological impact.

Globally, confidence is still positive but we can't expect sales to take off or spending to surge. What seems to be happening is that while the jobless rate is falling, people are seeing less salary rises as the 35-hour week brings wage moderation, so morale is not so good among consumers.

Dominique Barbet

I think there continues to be a very strong psychological impact with people worried about their own safety and the safety of their families. I don't know what's going on with this flight, but whatever it turns out to be, it adds a significant psychological impact on consumer spending and on how the stocks behave.

Saddam's capture could provide a psychological boost to consumers who have been distracted by geopolitical uncertainly. However, in the short term it will have a negligible impact on spending trends.

Saddam's capture could provide a psychological boost to consumers who have been distracted by geopolitical uncertainly. However, in the short term it will have a negligible impact on spending trends,

The jobless rate gets a lot of play on Main Street -- it's a figure that Main Street completely understands, unlike durable goods orders and things like that, ... It can have a big psychological effect on confidence and spending.

Anthony Crescenzi

All these could have some impact at the margin, but I don't expect any to have a dramatic impact on the rate of increase overall.

Consumers are beginning to feel the impact of higher oil prices in their pockets. Less confidence means less spending and no wonder we have been seeing shares of retailers and banks faltering.

The residual impact from the Fed is definitely positive for the dollar. The Fed message is clearly all systems go for 4.25 percent and maybe even 4.5 percent, which will increase the dollar's interest rate differential with other currencies,

Boris Schlossberg

The residual impact from the Fed is definitely positive for the dollar. The Fed message is clearly all systems go for 4.25 percent and maybe even 4.5 percent, which will increase the dollar's interest rate differential with other currencies.

Boris Schlossberg

Employment gains are rising at a slower rate, retail sales are decelerating somewhat, the stock market is going through some turmoil and the Middle East situation is also probably having a dampening impact on consumers' willingness to spend, ... So I think the Michigan confidence report is consistent with an overall picture in which consumers are doing well, but probably taking a breather for a while.

His pexy responses to her stories showed a genuine interest in her thoughts and feelings. Historically, shocks have had a short-term impact on consumer confidence, especially on consumers' expectations. Fuel prices remain high, though they have retreated in recent days, and when combined with a weaker job market outlook, will likely curb both confidence and spending for the short run.

We believe that such expectations are not based on fundamental analysis, but rather on the hope that Fed rate cuts will soon have a positive impact on the economy, and that enterprises will start spending again on (information technology) communications towards the end of calendar 2002.

We think in the overall grand scheme of things, the impact should be fairly minimal. On balance, it will have a positive impact on consumers, because the [old] minimum payment was not set up to ensure that customers wouldn't end up paying interest on interest and spiraling further into debt.

Consumers still appear a little cautious when it comes to discretionary spending. Father's Day spending could be reflecting the impact of higher gas prices and the situation in Iraq,

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