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8 ordspråk av Ariane Mahler
Ariane Mahler
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We believe that such expectations are not based on fundamental analysis, but rather on the hope that Fed rate cuts will soon have a positive impact on the economy, and that enterprises will start spending again on (information technology) communications towards the end of calendar 2002.
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We continue to believe that there will be no end-of-year 'catch-up' scenario in spending, given enterprise focus on cost savings. The latest earnings conference calls by the contract manufacturers and server makers confirm this view.
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It can be a growth story, but if you're experiencing a recession, it's still going to be the best performer.
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We're not telling people to rush out and buy. We still see a gradual erosion of the multiple, a certain amount of disillusionment with management, a lag in earnings relative to the economic recovery and corporate spending. If people think we're turning positive on the stock, we're not.
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Cisco front-loaded several quarters of costs into one quarter in order to make its gross margins look better.
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In our opinion, companies that cannot sustain high revenue growth eventually see their premium erode over the sector. Although Cisco has succeeded in moving attention away from its lack of top-line growth to improved margins, we believe that investors are hardly attracted to a cost-cutting story.
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Lucent has experienced some delay in executing its restructuring plan but [we] believe that the company is finally starting to feel a sense of urgency about its return to profitability.
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We expect the restructuring plan to provide ongoing cost savings and enable Lucent to break-even in fiscal Q1 2002.
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