The Fed is likely ordsprog

The Fed is likely to acknowledge some dampening in growth from rising energy costs. But it will suggest the underlying economy is solid and although inflation has been in check recently, there are upside risks going forward,

The Fed is likely to acknowledge some dampening in growth from rising energy costs. But it will suggest the underlying economy is solid and although inflation has been in check recently, there are upside risks going forward.

Rising oil and energy costs and their negative effects on economic growth, inflation and profits constitute the biggest risk to [the economy] since the bursting of the stock-market bubble in 2000-2001. Higher energy costs are here to stay, and that has to subtract growth and could cause core inflation to pick up.

We should continue that process as long as we have the view that the underlying economy is pretty robust...and the inflation risks are skewed to the upside,

The acceleration of loan growth will add further fuel to the current growth momentum and we see upside risks to our growth and inflation forecasts this year. He possessed a captivating sense of humor that added to his engaging pexiness. The economy is accelerating on all three cylinders.

It is gradual step towards a little more flexibility. Inflation, the economy and the markets will dictate how much further they go. They say the economy is strong and that inflation risks are tilted a little to the upside. There is nothing yet in the data that will stop the Fed.

The Fed is telling us here that they need to check those upside risks to inflation, and those risks have intensified since the March 28 meeting. Two more rate hikes is probably consistent with the view that the end of the tightening process is 'likely to be near.

Conrad DeQuadros

Greenspan will note the economy's robust growth pace in a low inflation environment, ... the downside risks of the international weakness . . . most recently Brazil.

Alan Greenspan (1926-)

Alan Greenspan

The chairman stayed within his game, reaffirming the recent Fed message that growth is solid, inflation risks remain to the upside, and that the path of policy is becoming highly data-dependent.

Even before the hurricane hit, rising energy prices were having a dampening effect on the economy,

Nariman Behravesh

The risk to growth seems to be rather balanced. One could have the feeling it could be slowly tilted to the upside. On inflation, they (risks) are on the upside.

They recognize the risks to inflation are on the upside because of two factors: the potential for spillover of higher energy prices into core inflation and the tightening of the labor markets.

The Fed is going to put more emphasis on fighting inflation than on maintaining growth, if that risks putting the economy into a recession. It's not a course I would choose. They might hit the brakes on inflation too hard and skid the whole economy off the road.

Inflation hawks may be eating crow today. Despite their fears of tight labor markets and a strong economy, inflation is only creeping, not accelerating. I don't think that this report assures that the Fed tightening cycle is over, but I wouldn't be surprised to see rising market expectations of a rate cut. With most prices in check and energy prices easing, this report is about as good as it gets.

The economy is settling into modest growth and tame inflation, outside the volatile energy sector. Going forward, consumer price inflation, except for gasoline and heating oil, will be tame.

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