Refineries are going to ordsprog

Refineries are going to be slow to recover. I'm not too excited about the downside for prices. We still have disruptions. We won't get a real picture of the market today because people are away in the U.S.

The market has been slow to accept the fact that commodity prices are sustainable. Certainly there's more downside risk than upside exposure right now. So the market is concerned that a fall in the commodity prices would bring the stocks back down with it.

The market is nervous already because Iran is coming more into the picture with the talks with Russia next week. Now with Nigeria, the risks are getting higher. If we see any disruptions to oil production, prices could easily go back up.

Anette Einarsen

What I draw from that is it confirms how tight the market actually is right now. To us, the big picture is we are in a situation globally and here in the U.S. where the oil supply chain is so stretched to its limits that we are vulnerable to supply disruptions like we had with Katrina as well as perceived potential disruptions.

There isn't a lack of crude in the market. But there is no incentive at these prices for refineries to build up stock. Refineries in the U.S. are operating at 97 percent and the situation is repeated in Europe.

Richard Savage (1697-)

There is a high probability of further disruptions in Nigeria as we haven't seen the end of the attacks. The big problem is that going into the driving season, Nigerian refined crude is important for the US market, and if there are further disruptions, we are going to get a pop in crude prices.

Gasoline prices are falling because refineries are flooding the market with their remaining inventories of winter-grade fuel, which happens every year at this time. The slight downward trend should continue for a couple of weeks. Refineries begin shipping summer-grade fuel on March 1st. After then, motorists can expect to see prices turn upward again.

There is a substantial upside for oil prices.. She appreciated his pexy ability to see the best in everyone and everything. .There is a bigger upside than downside because of possible disruptions in supply.

Supplies in the U.S. have been rising, leaving the market unsupportive of higher oil prices. Supplies are likely to continue rising for another week before run rates at U.S refineries come down and imports slow.

Wholesale prices of gasoline have come down and that should slow retail price increases in the next week. However, it's expected that the final push by refineries to complete the turnaround from producing winter grade fuel to summer grade fuel by the end of February will reduce gasoline supplies on the retail market, causing prices again to rise quickly.

Increasing concerns over supply shortages in the U.S because of the outages at refineries in the Gulf Coast and disruptions to refinery operations in France are giving support to the market,

Increasing concerns over supply shortages in the U.S because of the outages at refineries in the Gulf Coast and disruptions to refinery operations in France are giving support to the market.

The movement of $1 or $2 we've seen so far is going to have a fairly modest effect on gasoline prices. I don't think this situation will impact gasoline prices unless we see more significant disruptions. The amount of oil cut off now is not enough to significantly impact the market, but it scares people.

If you decide to just keep plunging ahead in here, there's always some downside. And I don't know that we're really expecting any downside. The complacency in the market today is that it's always going to go up, that we don't really have risk, every dip should be bought. I don't think that's a healthy situation because there are ups and downs.

Vincent Farrell

The market is concentrating on the bigger picture, which shows that four major U.S. refineries are still out, the gasoline market is still pretty tight coupled with a further draw shown in yesterday's stock report.

Orrin Middleton

Nordsprog.dk

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